Sports and Numbers - Historical Player Ratings: Kansas Basketball 2000-01

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Historical Player Ratings: Kansas Basketball 2000-01

Aug 8, 2007

A couple of seasons ago, I completely revamped my player ratings system, which I now call PSAN. So, I thought it might be fun to apply the new system to KU teams from earlier this decade. I would have gone back farther, but the power ratings data that I need to help make it a more "apples to apples" comparison aren't available before 2000-01.

So, over my next few articles, I'm going to rate the players from KU teams of this decade. I'll try to provide some context for the ratings. A couple of important caveats to this kind of analysis: 1) I'm using season-ending boxscores, which means that the ratings don't account for how well a player performed against specific opponents, and 2) There is really no way of knowing whether a team with a power rating of 90 one season is the same as one rated 90 in another, although from top to bottom in college basketball, there probability isn't huge variability in team strength averages from season to season.

Kansas Jayhawks Men's Basketball 2000-01

Overall Record: 26-7
Conference Record: 12-4 (Tie for 2nd)
Conference Tournament: 1-1 (Semi-finalist)
NCAA Tournament: 2-1 (Sweet 16)
Final Sagarin Power Rating: 90.14 (#10)

Season Totals

(sorted by total minutes played)

NAME	GMS	MIN	FGM	FGA	FTM	FTA	3PM	3PA	PTS	OFF	DEF	TOT	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF
Jeff Boschee	33	1098	125	293	48	61	68	189	366	14	66	80	115	54	35	5	86
Kirk Hinrich	33	1079	116	232	91	108	55	109	378	16	118	134	229	111	43	9	107
Kenny Gregory	30	948	204	360	39	92	22	57	469	99	121	220	72	51	31	7	45
Nick Collison	33	892	187	313	85	136	2	5	461	72	150	222	71	91	36	54	113
Drew Gooden	28	761	166	322	105	162	4	10	441	70	164	234	47	72	15	29	76
Eric Chenowith	33	746	111	243	93	136	0	2	315	74	176	250	28	70	11	49	99
Luke Axtell	19	289	31	83	20	25	18	52	100	12	38	50	17	15	8	5	25
Jeff Carey	33	274	19	35	15	25	0	1	53	22	46	68	14	22	9	7	32
Brett Ballard	24	154	10	31	6	7	9	23	35	3	11	14	15	16	7	2	24
Mario Kinsey	16	140	9	28	9	12	3	9	30	1	9	10	15	18	11	2	19
Bryant Nash	24	122	7	25	2	6	0	5	16	14	15	29	6	5	5	0	16
Lewis Harrison	16	38	2	7	2	6	1	1	7	2	2	4	9	3	2	0	2
Chris Zerbe	16	33	13	19	4	9	1	1	31	2	7	9	2	0	4	0	1
Todd Kappelmann	16	26	2	5	1	4	0	1	5	3	4	7	1	0	0	1	3

Derived Statistics

(sorted by points per game)

NAME	GMS	MIN/gm	PTS/gm	eFG%	FT Rate	REB/gm	AST/gm	TO/gm	AST:TO	STL/gm	BLK/gm
Drew Gooden	28	27.2	15.8	52.2%	32.61	8.4	1.7	2.6	0.7	0.5	1.0
Kenny Gregory	30	31.6	15.6	59.7%	10.83	7.3	2.4	1.7	1.4	1.0	0.2
Nick Collison	33	27.0	14.0	60.1%	27.16	6.7	2.2	2.8	0.8	1.1	1.6
Kirk Hinrich	33	32.7	11.5	61.9%	39.22	4.1	6.9	3.4	2.1	1.3	0.3
Jeff Boschee	33	33.3	11.1	54.3%	16.38	2.4	3.5	1.6	2.1	1.1	0.2
Eric Chenowith	33	22.6	9.5	45.7%	38.27	7.6	0.8	2.1	0.4	0.3	1.5
Luke Axtell	19	15.2	5.3	48.2%	24.10	2.6	0.9	0.8	1.1	0.4	0.3
Chris Zerbe	16	2.1	1.9	71.1%	21.05	0.6	0.1	0.0		0.3	0.0
Mario Kinsey	16	8.8	1.9	37.5%	32.14	0.6	0.9	1.1	0.8	0.7	0.1
Jeff Carey	33	8.3	1.6	54.3%	42.86	2.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.2
Brett Ballard	24	6.4	1.5	46.8%	19.35	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1
Bryant Nash	24	5.1	0.7	28.0%	8.00	1.2	0.3	0.2	1.2	0.2	0.0
Lewis Harrison	16	2.4	0.4	35.7%	28.57	0.3	0.6	0.2	3.0	0.1	0.0
Todd Kappelmann	16	1.6	0.3	40.0%	20.00	0.4	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.1

Player Ratings

cPSAN - "Total Impact"

PLAYER	cPSAN
Kenny Gregory	140.65
Kirk Hinrich	121.32
Nick Collison	119.63
Drew Gooden	81.89
Jeff Boschee	64.43
Eric Chenowith	56.75
Luke Axtell	18.53
Jeff Carey	17.64
Chris Zerbe*	12.35
Lewis Harrison*	2.06
Todd Kappelmann*	1.57
Bryant Nash*	0.89
Brett Ballard*	-1.38
Mario Kinsey	-4.37

cPSAN70 - "Efficiency"

PLAYER	cPSAN70
Chris Zerbe*	14.24
Kenny Gregory	5.65
Nick Collison	5.10
Kirk Hinrich	4.28
Drew Gooden	4.09
Eric Chenowith	2.89
Jeff Carey	2.45
Luke Axtell	2.44
Todd Kappelmann*	2.30
Jeff Boschee	2.23
Lewis Harrison*	2.07
Bryant Nash*	0.28
Brett Ballard*	-0.34
Mario Kinsey	-1.19

* Rating not based on enough data.

Player Analysis

It was a bit of a surprise to me when I looked back to see Kenny Gregory's stats for his senior season. He averaged 15.6 PTS, 7.3 REB, shot a whopping 59.7 eFG%, had a decent AST:TO ratio (1.4:1) and swiped about a STL per game. On a team that finished 10th best in the country and reached the Sweet 16 ... well, not bad. He had the team's highest impact and highest efficiency ratings. And how's this for consistency? Gregory scored in double figures in all 30 games he played that season. It was probably no coincidence that the first of three games he missed due to injuries was the 31-point debacle at Wake Forest. If only he could have hit more than 42% at the freethrow line, this could have been one of the better seasons by a player in recent KU history.

The sophomore version of Nick Collison wasn't nearly as polished around the basket as the upperclassman version, but he was still impressive. Collison turned in the second-most efficient performance in 2000-01, with an impact essentially tied for second with Kirk Hinrich. Collison made good use of his 27 minutes per game to score 14 PTS, 6.7 REB on 60 eFG% and only 62.5 FT%, with 1.7 BLK and 1 STL. But he averaged nearly 3 TO and 3.5 PF's per game. During this season, he had firmly established himself as the starting "bookend" forward and set the stage for two amazing seasons yet to come.

Kirk Hinrich didn't play at the efficiency level of Gregory or Nick Collison, but he played so many minutes at a good efficiency level that he made the 2nd most impact on the team. The bulk of his positive impact came from his stellar shooting (61.9 eFG%), 2:1 AST:TO ratio, and excellent FT shooting (84.3% with over 3 attempts per game). The only reason his ratings aren't higher is that he didn't score and rebound as effectively. Clearly, he was a catalyst on this team though, and so much of his contributions really can't be accounted for in boxscores.

Although Drew Gooden led this team in scoring, he was far from its most solid contributor. In 27 minutes per game, Gooden averaged 15.8 PTS, 8.4 REB (2.5 OREB), 1 BLK on 52.2 eFG%. Unfortunately, he only made 64.8% of his team-leading 162 FT attempts and averaged 2.6 TO against only 1.7 AST. Like it or not, missed freethrows add up to empty possessions, as do turnovers. Still, it was a solid season for a sophomore. And of course, we all know how much he improved the next season.

Jeff Boschee and Eric Chenowith were the only other major contributors that season, with neither turning in much of an efficient season. Boschee shot a respectable 54.3 eFG%, but with the highest playing time on the team, he only managed to provide 11 PTS and 2.4 REB, although he had a very healthy AST:TO ratio with 3.5 AST, with 79 FT%. The bottom line on Boschee was that he didn't produce as much as his playing time would dictate he should have. Chenowith, of course, was an easy target for many KU fans. After a promising first two seasons, Chenowith, an avid surfer, eventually leveled off and even disappointed by the time of this, his senior season. His 7.6 REB average and 49 BLK were quite impressive in light of his 23 minutes of average playing time. But he shot a meager 45.7 eFG% and averaged 2 TO. He was able to get to the line with great frequency but hit a mediocre 68% of his freethrows. Not a memorable season for Chenowith, dude.