Kansas College Basketball Season Preview 2006-07

Analysis

The season started out with some optimism for Jeremy Case.  His performances backed up some of that.  Against New Orleans and Yale, he had his two best game impact (cPSAN) ratings.  What followed, however, was a gradual decline in performance.  Certainly, Case improved his statistics over his frosh season considerably.  And in some of his higher-rated games, his perimeter shooting was a nice shot in the arm.  But his impact as the season progressed was clearly in decline, as Coach Self used him less and less.  Although his impact on the games wasn't very much, he ended up with a fairly respectable ePSAN70 score (best measure of efficiency), partially because the Kansas team ranked so high in power ratings.  But as far as the pecking order on the team, Case's overall ePSAN70 rating lagged far behind the rest of the boys.

The positive ratings that he did generate usually came from his shooting.  Interestingly, he's known for being a 3-pt shooter, but he had a much better 2FG rating than 3FG.  In fact, he shot only 33% from behind the arc.  His 2FG shooting was quite impressive (7 of 8) but obviously lacking in quantity.

What KU Fans Say

Comments from KUSports.com Message Board:

• I know he can do MUCH better than these stats show. But, he hasn't shown it in games.  With our current depth, you have to figure Jeremy is our sub-substitute designated shooter.  Jeremy does up the scale of our "quality person" roster.
• Interesting note on his 2-pointers. I often find that 3-point shooters, when they are respected by the defense, have a MUCH easier time scoring easy buckets and layups (see: Korver, Kyle). I think that's what Jeremy will need to take break the rotation at all. If only we could have Rod's body and slashing game, and Jeremy's shooting in one person...
• Under what circumstances would Case play?  I'm going with...  a. lack of turnovers - I think Coach Self values some guys that come in and make the stars better by being the "glue".  b. tough defense - let's see if the kid has learned to ride in someone's jock.  c. injuries - let's hope this one doesn't come to pass. 

Comments from Phog.net Message Board:

• I don't need a mathematical formula to tell you Jeremy Case won't see a minute of important action this season.
• I'm sure he's a good guy, but he's unlikely to contribute much. I can't see his limited time sample as too significant for discussion purposes.
• Since Case doesn't play much it's hard to tell which games he played in for enough minutes to provide a reasonable measure of his performance.
• Although JC has received less pt than others, I still believe he could deliver possitive moments during his next two years.  I love the way Coach Self has used JC in getting him into games for short streaches in the 1st half to see if he could hit a trey or two.   JC may end his career at KU with the stamp of good in practice but nothing in games, but in seeing his support for his teammates, JC will always be a plus in my mind for the Jayhawks.
• It's obvious that Jeremy Case's game begins and ends with the 3-point shot. That's perfectly fine, especially if he is coming off the bench for a few minutes, with that specific reason in mind.
• Case is interesting because he is touted as a 3pt specialist yet he isn't very good at that. Plus he sees his minutes usually during the last 3 or 4 minutes of games when KU has a huge lead. It seems Self has never wanted to put Case into a game when it counted. I don't think the moniker of 3 point specialist should apply to a player who only gets mop up minutes.  At best Case is nothing more than a practice player.
• The only time I want either Morningstar or Case in a game is when we're up by 40. Otherwise they belong at the end of the bench.

Outlook for 2006-07 Season

Look for upcoming features to discuss this player's potential role on the team this season.

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