Home
Kansas Basketball
NCAA Basketball
Basketball Conference Simulations
Basketball Player Ratings Explanation

Football
Radio Appearances
Newsletter
Links
Contact

 

 

 

Recap: Kansas vs Oklahoma (Big XII Tournament)

March 9, 2007

Kansas 64 - Oklahoma 47

(Note: The ratings below have changed a bit.  I no longer do raw PSAN.
I've moved the "Comparative PSAN Ratings" over to the left, also known as "Total Impact"
and added the "Efficiency" on the right, indicating how well each player used his time on the court.)

 cPSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

PSAN ratings adjusted for quality of opponent

cPSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

cPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

Ratings on the Court
Highest: Brandon Rush
Lowest: David Godbold

 

PLAYER cPSAN
Brandon Rush 9.30
Sasha Kaun 8.44
Mario Chalmers 6.80
Darrell Arthur 4.36
Russell Robinson 4.05
Sherron Collins 2.42
Julian Wright 0.43
Brennan Bechard* 0.00
Brady Morningstar* 0.00
Jeremy Case* -0.01
Rodrick Stewart* -0.50
Matt Kleinmann* -0.83
Darnell Jackson -2.78

 

PLAYER cPSAN
Longar Longar 8.71
Beau Gerber* 2.76
Michael Neal 1.95
Nate Carter 1.70
Kellen Sampson* 0.38
Chris Walker -1.23
Austin Johnson -1.63
Taylor Griffin -1.81
Bobby Maze -1.98
Tony Crocker -2.47
David Godbold -3.13

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

Ratings on the Court
Highest: Longar Longar
Lowest: Darnell Jackson

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
Brandon Rush 14.07
Sasha Kaun 12.77
Darrell Arthur 12.37
Mario Chalmers 9.65
Russell Robinson 6.82
Sherron Collins 4.57
Julian Wright 1.30
Brennan Bechard* 0.00
Brady Morningstar* 0.00
Jeremy Case* -0.59
Rodrick Stewart* -5.70
Darnell Jackson -8.41
Matt Kleinmann* -18.73

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
Beau Gerber* 61.88
Longar Longar 14.48
Kellen Sampson* 8.50
Michael Neal 3.65
Nate Carter 3.04
Tony Crocker -3.46
Austin Johnson -3.85
Taylor Griffin -3.87
Chris Walker -5.53
David Godbold -5.86
Bobby Maze -6.34

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

Comments and Observations

Overall results as expected, but the first half was much closer than it should have been.  KU was a bit tight after a long break.  Predictably, the team that had just played the day before was sharper to begin with but may have tired down the stretch.  The superior talent and fresher legs for KU resulted in a large margin of victory even though KU's best player (Wright) sat out much of the game with foul trouble.

Four Factor Analysis

  • eFG% - KU by 51-33%
  • TURNOVERS - Advantage KU by 24-15%
  • OFFENSIVE REBOUNDING - Basically even - KU by 29-28%
  • FREETHROW RATE (FTM/FGA) - OU advantage 31-21%
What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
Statistic Measured Kansas Oklahoma
eFG% 17.6  
TO Rate 5.4  
O-Reb% 0.2  
Freethrows FT Pct   5.9
FT Attempts 1.9  

CONCLUSION - Huge advantage for KU in the most important category, eFG%, was too much to overcome.  OU would have had to dominate the offensive glass and avoid wasted possessions, neither of which they did.



Sports and Numbers Newsletter - sign up here
Get notified of updates to the site. Some features written exclusively for newsletter.

Email this page to your friend

Copyright © 2006 Sports and Numbers. All Rights Reserved.  Terms of Use  Privacy Policy