Recap: Kansas at Baylor

January 25, 2007

Kansas 82 - Baylor 56

PSAN
Game Ratings

Who contributed most to this game
without adjusting for how good the opponent was?

Best for determining player of the game,
comparing performances in this game only, etc.

cPSAN
Comparative Game Ratings

PSAN Game Ratings ... adjusted for quality of opponent

Best for comparing a player's performance in this game to his (or other players') performances in a different game.

Ratings on the Court
Highest: Julian Wright
Lowest: Aaron Bruce

PLAYER	PSAN
Julian Wright	6.05
Brandon Rush	5.84
Sasha Kaun	3.65
Sherron Collins	3.23
Russell Robinson	3.13
Mario Chalmers	2.90
Brady Morningstar*	2.10
Darnell Jackson	1.87
Matt Kleinmann*	0.06
Brad Witherspoon*	0.00
Brennan Bechard*	0.00
Rodrick Stewart*	-0.04
Jeremy Case	-1.17
Darrell Arthur	-1.63

PLAYER	PSAN
Rogers, K	1.73
Vantajja, J*	1.64
Hurd, R*	1.14
Shepherd, M*	1.14
Dugat, H	-1.06
Fields, P*	-1.22
Diene, M	-2.38
Lomers, J	-2.61
Bush, T	-3.83
Jerrells, C	-6.24
Carter, T	-6.58
Bruce, A	-7.74

*Rating not based on enough data.

Ratings on the Court
Highest: Brandon Rush
Lowest: Aaron Bruce

PLAYER	cPSAN
Brandon Rush	7.59
Julian Wright	7.42
Sasha Kaun	4.91
Russell Robinson	4.88
Sherron Collins	4.43
Mario Chalmers	4.10
Darnell Jackson	2.37
Brady Morningstar*	2.10
Matt Kleinmann*	0.06
Brad Witherspoon*	0.00
Brennan Bechard*	0.00
Rodrick Stewart*	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	-0.48
Jeremy Case	-0.84

PLAYER	cPSAN
Rogers, K	4.10
Vantajja, J*	1.64
Hurd, R*	1.14
Shepherd, M*	1.14
Dugat, H	0.78
Diene, M	-0.62
Fields, P*	-1.22
Lomers, J	-1.92
Bush, T	-2.75
Jerrells, C	-3.71
Carter, T	-4.43
Bruce, A	-5.60

*Rating not based on enough data.

My Observations

Due to an unusual glitch from the software vendor that makes the channel guide for my cable company, my game did not record! Sorry, no observations or player analysis for this game.

Four Factor Analysis

eFG% - 57-33% domination for Kansas. An advantage like this in the most important factor is the proverbial "nail in the coffin."
TURNOVERS - Essentially a draw, as both teams had a high rate of TO's (KU 23% - BU 24.5%)
OFFENSIVE REBOUNDING - In a disturbing trend for KU in road games, Baylor did a better job on O-Reb% (39-36%)
FREETHROW RATE - 27.5-18% advantage for KU, as the Jayhawks scored four more points from the FT line.

What did the difference in this statistic mean to each team?		Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
Statistic Measured		Kansas	Baylor
eFG%		29.2
TO Rate		0.9
O-Reb%			0.6
Freethrows	FT Pct	2.1
	FT Attempts	1.9

CONCLUSION - This was all about KU shooting better from the field. Not having seen the game, I am not able to comment on why, but presumably KU was getting better looks at the basket combined with probably an off night for Baylor's gunners.

Player Performance Analysis

Due to an unusual glitch from the software vendor that makes the channel guide for my cable company, my game did not record! Sorry, no observations or player analysis for this game.

Pre-Game Keys to Watch For
Keys to Watch For	Metric	Result	Edge (Comments)
Baylor will fire away from deep, so they must make a healthy percentage to have a chance.	Baylor to shoot at least 38% from 3FG	Miserable 18%	KANSAS - Shooting was the key to the whole game.
Rebounds and TO's are not an area BU will exploit when KU has the ball, so they must take advantage of the other two (FG and FT shooting)	Main KU shooters (Rush, Arthur, Chalmers) to shoot no more than 45 eFG%	58.3 eFG%	KANSAS - The team shot very well overall.
See above	KU to attempt 14 or fewer FT's	KU had 23	KANSAS - Not that they did much better than BU, but this could have been a weak link for KU.

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Recap: Kansas at Baylor

Kansas 82 - Baylor 56

PSAN Game Ratings

cPSAN Comparative Game Ratings

My Observations

Four Factor Analysis

Player Performance Analysis

Pre-Game Keys to Watch For

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PSAN
Game Ratings

cPSAN
Comparative Game Ratings