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Preview: Colorado at Kansas

January 26, 2007

Colorado at Kansas (Lawrence, KS)

  Kansas Colorado

Talent Indicators

    
Div I Records 17-3 5-11
AP Rank 8 NR
Pomeroy Rating
(Updated daily)		 8 195
Consensus Ranking
(Updated periodically - avg several computer ratings and polls)		 14 205
RPI 12 239
Best opponents defeated this season
(Ranking from Pomeroy)		 vs Florida (# 2) W 82-80 (OT)
vs Southern Cal (# 33) W 72-62		 @ Utah (# 111) W 60-59
vs Iowa St. (# 119) W 74-65

Predictions
This section gives you a flavor of what different prediction techniques indicate for this game.

    
Vegas Oddsmakers Win by 27
Projection: 85-58		  
Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor) Win by 29  
Pomeroy
(Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted)		 Win 87-57
99% chance of victory		  
Last 10 Games
(uses team performance and consistency over last 5 home/non-home games, whichever pertains to this game + 5 other most recent games regardless of location)		 Win by 30.5
99.999% chance of victory		  
Weighted Average of All Models Above
(30% Vegas + 30% Sagarin + 30% Pomeroy + 10% Last 10)		 Win by 29
Projection: 86-57		  
 

 

PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This Season

Explanation of Ratings
Note: ePSAN70 weighs recent games more, but cPSAN70 weighs all games equally

Kansas

ePSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
ePSAN ("Total Impact")
 

PLAYER ePSAN70 ePSAN
Brady Morningstar* 6.11 7.56
Julian Wright 5.48 73.91
Sasha Kaun 5.02 42.89
Darnell Jackson 4.87 33.29
Mario Chalmers 4.74 67.14
Sherron Collins 3.87 39.34
Darrell Arthur 3.46 35.95
Russell Robinson 2.88 41.02
Brandon Rush 2.72 44.34
Jeremy Case* 2.70 4.76
Rodrick Stewart* 1.81 4.17
Matt Kleinmann* 1.40 1.34
Brennan Bechard* -0.30 -0.06
Brad Witherspoon* -13.34 -2.43

* Rating not based on enough data.

Colorado

cPSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
cPSAN ("Total Impact")
 

 
 
PLAYER cPSAN70 cPSAN
James Inge* 6.47 6.20
Jermyl Jackson-Wilson 2.06 20.58
Dominique Coleman 1.91 21.89
Chase Perkowski* 1.38 0.96
Jeremy Williams 0.40 3.17
Trent Beckley -1.51 -0.94
Richard Roby -1.59 -20.56
Xavier Silas -1.73 -21.39
Marcus King-Stockton -2.09 -16.24
Kalvin Bay -3.14 -28.25
Sean Kowal -4.03 -13.89
Dwight Thorne -5.80 -36.08
Marc Van Burck* -9.82 -10.18

* Rating not based on enough data.
 


Player Analysis:
(largely based on ratings above)

No player analysis this game due to time constraints.

 

 

Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis

Explanation of Terms

NOTE: From top to bottom, the statistics are sorted such that, at the top are the greatest advantages to the team on the left,
and at the bottom are the greatest advantages for the team on the right.

 

** Denotes that team with advantage also ranks in Top 50 in that category  
Clear Advantage for Kansas No Clear Advantage Clear Advantage for Colorado
Colorado eFG%**    
Kansas eFG%**    
Colorado 3pt FG%    
Colorado 2pt FG%**    
Kansas 3pt FG%    
Colorado PTS/Poss**    
Colorado TO rate**    
Colorado FT%**    
Kansas 2pt FG%    
Colorado FT Rate    
  Kansas OREB  
Kansas PTS/Poss**    
  Kansas TO rate  
  Colorado % own 2FGA's blocked  
  Colorado % Poss STL by Opp  
  Kansas FT%  
  Colorado OREB  
  Kansas FT Rate  
  Kansas % Poss STL by Opp  
  Kansas % own 2FGA's blocked  

 

Kansas will have above avg % of FG's assisted
Colorado will have below avg % of FG's assisted
Expect uptempo game

 

Sports and Numbers Prediction: Kansas wins 86-57.

 

 

Pre-Game Keys to Watch For

Keys to Watch For

Metric

Result

Edge (Comments)
No keys this game      


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