Recap: Kent State at Kansas
Dec 2, 2008

Kansas 87 - Kent State 60

 PSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

All ratings are adjusted for quality of opponent

PSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

PSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

 

Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Jordan Mincy

 

 (PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact.
For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better.)

 

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Cole Aldrich 3.13 -4.34 7.46
Sherron Collins 3.83 -0.52 4.35
Markieff Morris 3.24 -0.08 3.33
Brady Morningstar 1.32 -1.89 3.21
Quintrell Thomas* 2.58 -0.40 2.98
Tyshawn Taylor 0.40 -2.44 2.84
Marcus Morris -0.16 -2.90 2.74
Travis Releford* 2.23 -0.04 2.27
Tyrel Reed 1.45 0.24 1.21
Conner Teahan* 0.28 -0.69 0.97
Matt Kleinmann* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tyrone Appleton* 0.20 0.29 -0.08

 

 

 

For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better

 

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Anthony Simpson 1.96 -2.08 4.04
Mike McKee 4.71 0.72 3.99
Chris Singletary 1.62 -1.66 3.28
Rashad Woods 2.68 1.51 1.18
Justin Greene* -0.12 -1.00 0.88
Alex Grimsley* 0.53 0.45 0.08
Antonio DiMaria* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Frank Henry-Ala* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Julian Sullinger -0.37 0.70 -1.08
Brandon Parks 0.93 2.15 -1.23
Al Fisher -4.49 -2.14 -2.35
Jordan Mincy -3.01 2.57 -5.58

 

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Jordan Mincy  

 

 (PSAN70-O = Offensive efficiency, PSAN70-D = Defensive efficiency.
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better.)

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Travis Releford* 29.77 -0.51 30.28
Conner Teahan* 5.62 -13.76 19.38
Quintrell Thomas* 11.48 -1.77 13.25
Cole Aldrich 4.48 -6.21 10.68
Markieff Morris 10.00 -0.25 10.25
Sherron Collins 5.69 -0.77 6.46
Brady Morningstar 1.76 -2.53 4.29
Marcus Morris -0.22 -4.01 3.79
Tyshawn Taylor 0.46 -2.79 3.25
Tyrel Reed 2.91 0.49 2.42
Matt Kleinmann* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tyrone Appleton* 4.09 5.79 -1.70

  

  

 For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Justin Greene* -0.95 -7.98 7.04
Mike McKee 8.21 1.25 6.95
Anthony Simpson 3.15 -3.34 6.48
Chris Singletary 1.97 -2.02 3.99
Rashad Woods 8.96 5.04 3.92
Alex Grimsley* 2.37 2.02 0.34
Antonio DiMaria* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Frank Henry-Ala* 0.00 0.00 0.00
Julian Sullinger -0.94 1.76 -2.70
Al Fisher -5.81 -2.77 -3.04
Brandon Parks 2.86 6.64 -3.78
Jordan Mincy -4.16 3.55 -7.71

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 


 

My Observations

 

It's going to be very interesting to see how Sherron Collins fares in my ratings versus how he looks on the court.  Last night, there were definitely stretches of dazzling displays of speed, vision and wizardry from the Jayhawks' leader.  Still, he finished with subpar shooting with lots of shots.  He didn't have any turnovers, which really helped his rating.  Yet, some might watch that game and wonder why Collins wasn't the highest rated player.  I have a feeling that will happen a lot this season, simply because it is human nature to overlook many details, especially those that require the recognition that something is missing.  Collins had only one rebound all night, for example.  Perhaps this isn't the best game to be having this discussion, because he did rate at #2 in impact.  Just something to keep an eye on the rest of the season.

 

Overall, it was what I had kind of alluded to in a couple of message board posts.  When KU faces opponents like this, the ones who are expected to give them trouble, usually KU plays well and handily wins by a greater-than-expected margin.  With the exception of a second-half lull, KU pretty well kept it together.

 

 

 

Offensive and Defensive Performance

 

Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team.  That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense.  This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.

 

 

 (pts per 100 poss) Kansas Kent State
Offensive Performance
125.5 105.4
Defensive Performance 80.7 100.8

 Comments

When KU had the ball, it was a super performance by the Jayhawks against an average Kent State defense.  Roughly the same can be said when Kent State had the ball, although their offense was a tad better than average.  With the latest adjusted efficiencies up-to-date, this game virtually tied for the best overall performance by KU this season (Fla Gulf Coast, Washington are the others).

 

 

 

Player Performance Analysis

 

Just a few quick notes.  Aldrich was head and shoulders above the rest of the competition, literally and statistically.  For Kent State, three guys (Simpson, McKee, Singletary) really did well.  It was really because Mincy had, by far, the worst game, and Fisher rated very poorly (despite coming in #1 for them) that the Flash had no chance.  Also note that Markieff Morris was virtually tied with Aldrich for the most efficient performance, making it especially unfortunate that he was ejected in the second half for a scuffle.

 

 

Four Factor Analysis

(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)

 

What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(not necessarily supposed to add up to final margin)

Statistic MeasuredKansasKent State
eFG% 1.5 
TO Rate9.5 
O-Reb%4.5
 
FreethrowsFT Pct6.0
 
FT Attempts14.0 

 

 

 FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES

 eFG%  KU 47-45%
 TO Rate (lo better)  KU 27-14%
 O-Reb% KU 44-31%
 FT Rate KU 54-23%
 Bottom Line
 It is shocking to see the 9.5 point advantage in turnovers for KU, when Kent State had such a clear on-paper advantage there.  It just means they hadn't faced a defense the caliber of Kansas and/or had a bad game.  Although I did not do an official boxscore projection, I did one for myself and noted that FT attempts were the single biggest advantage projected ... sure enough, that held up.  Very interesting to see the Jayhawks put together a blowout victory without a significant shooting edge.