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Newsletter
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| Recap: Kansas at Temple |
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| Jan 3, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better
*Rating not based on enough data.
Player Performance Analysis
As Bill Self said, it didn't matter who was on the court for the Jayhawks, they played well. In an unbelievable display of efficiency, the lowest ePSAN70-Comp for any KU player with at least 10 minutes was that of Marcus Morris ... a stellar +8.60! Three guys rated above 14, five players above 10. Where to begin when so many players were amazing?
We'll start with the heart and soul of this Jayhawks team, Sherron Collins. The tough point guard set the tone early with his scoring outburst and maintained efficiency and poise all throughout. He finished as the second-leading scorer (14 PTS) on 78 eFG% shooting (2-of-4 from downtown) and added 4 AST, 3 STL and 0 TO. His combination of efficiency and playing time resulted in, by far, the best contribution on paper for the Jayhawks.
Next up, we'll examine two players who are often compared, as some believe one should replace the other in the starting lineup. Both Tyshawn Taylor and Brady Morningstar had super efforts. Morningstar was more efficient though, the most efficient of anyone this day. In just 15 MIN, he made his one shot (3FG), dished 5 AST with 0 TO and even chipped in 3 REB. Taylor played 26 MIN and tallied 8 PTS on 75 eFG%, 5 REB, 2 AST, 2 TO and 0 STL. Remember, turnovers are more costly when the team is efficient on offense. Either way, great job collectively at the number two position for KU this time around.
Both of the Morris twins had strong efforts, but on paper, Markieff was stronger. Markieff shot better (67 vs 50 eFG%), grabbed more REB (4 vs 3), same STL and 1 more AST in only two-thirds the number of minutes his brother Marcus played.
Cole Aldrich hurt his cause with 3 TO and only a 50 eFG% on a day when everyone else was shooting lights out. Though he pulled down 10 REB, only 1 was OREB. Xavier Henry did a nice job of scoring on 56 eFG% shooting, but he didn't do much else to help and even committed 2 TO's.
Offensive and Defensive Performance
Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team. That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense. This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.
Four Factor Analysis(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)
Pre-Game Projected Key Factors
At least 75% likely to be important:
Between 50-75% likely to be important:
Between 25-50% likely to be important:
BOTTOM LINE - KU was projected to win 63-58, which was a 52/48% split of the points, but it actually won with a 62/38% split, an amazing performance. KU had the edge in the two factors most likely to be important (Kansas TO% and Temple OREB%), while it was a split in the 50-75% likely to be important. The single biggest of the factors was probably Temple's eFG% being so low, which was captured accurately. The fact that Temple did so much better than expected in the FT-related categories but didn't even come close to making it a game is encouraging, as none of the FT categories showed up in the "likely to be important" factors. But again, in a game where KU dominated in so many facets, it is difficult to judge the utility of the regression analysis for Four Factors. Game Projections
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