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| Recap: Texas A&M at Kansas |
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| Jan 20, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better
*Rating not based on enough data.
My Observations
It's hard not to salivate as a KU fan when Mario Little shows his stuff like he did this game. Is he going to shoot perfectly from the field every game? Of course not. But there is no question that his array of skills on the offensive end are something this Kansas team had been sorely lacking the first half of the season. Once he is at 100%, opposing defenses will have to give him even more attention, relieving some pressure on Collins and Aldrich.
Pretty incredible that not one Texas A&M player finished in double figures. My projections that no player would do better than their averages was fairly accurate, except for Loubeau.
Player Performance Analysis |
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| (pts per 100 poss) | Kansas | Texas A&M |
| Offensive Performance | 114.2 | 90.3 |
| Defensive Performance | 76.7 | 94.5 |
Comments When KU had the ball, things went almost exactly as expected, with both teams performing at their season average levels. But when TAMU had possession, it was a smothering performance by the Jayhawks. By my calculations, it was their fourth best defensive performance of the season. | ||
(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)
| What did the difference in this statistic mean to each team? | Scoring Margin Advantage Gained | ||
| Statistic Measured | Kansas | Texas A&M | |
| eFG% | 19.5 | | |
| TO Rate | 7.5 | ||
| O-Reb% | 1.6 | ||
| Freethrows | FT Pct | 2.1 | |
| FT Attempts | 2.9 | ||
Projection | Actual | Comments | |
OVERALL RESULTS | |||
| Final Score | KU 73-59 | KU 73-53 | |
| Tempo (# poss) | 65 | 67 | |
FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES | |||
| eFG% | KU 57-43% | KU 55-37% | |
| TO Rate (lo better) | KU 23-22% | KU 30-18% | Wow, this was an unexpected "gift" from the Aggies. It was the second highest TO% by an opponent this season. |
| O-Reb% | KU 36-29% | TAMU 35-30% | What would the Aggie offense have been like without this advantage? |
| FT Rate | TAMU 52-38% | TAMU 45-33% | |
| Four Factors Overall | The expected FT advantage for Texas A&M won't mean much if the projected eFG% advantage materializes. | Even if the Aggies had kept their TO's in check, the eFG% advantage would have given it to KU by a small margin. | |
PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | |||
| Leading Scorers | KU - Collins, Aldrich Opp - Carter/Sloan | KU - Collins/Aldrich Opp - Davis/Holmes | |
| Highest PSAN-Comp (game impact) | KU - Aldrich Opp - Elonu | KU - Little (Aldrich #3) Opp - Loubeau (Elonu #5) | |
| Highest PSAN70-Comp (efficiency) | KU - Aldrich Opp - Elonu | KU - Little (Aldrich #2) Opp - Loubeau (Elonu #5) | |
| Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Morningstar, Reed Opp - None | KU - Little, Morningstar Opp - Loubeau, Roland | FWIW, Little was my highest projection here pre-game, but my boxscore didn't have him playing 10+ minutes, so I didn't list him. |
| Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Markieff Morris, Collins Opp - Elonu, Holmes | KU - Markieff Morris, Aldrich Opp - Holmes, Elonu | |
Pre-Game Keys to Watch For | |||
Keys to Watch For | Metric | Result | Edge (Comments) |
| The free throw line has been a key advantage for the Aggies all season. KU's opponents have also done well there, so it may be a key battleground. | KU to limit TAMU's FT attempt advantage to 8 or fewer. | TAMU took 4 more FTA than KU | KANSAS |
| Much of KU's expected eFG% advantage is derived from a high 3FG%. That needs to materialize for an easy Jayhawk victory. | KU to shoot at least 35% from behind the arc. | KU shot 38% from behind the arc | KANSAS |
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