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Recap: Siena at Kansas Print E-mail
Jan 6, 2009

Kansas 91 - Siena 84

 PSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

All ratings are adjusted for quality of opponent

PSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

PSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

 

Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Sherron Collins

 

 (PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact.
For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better.)

 

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Cole Aldrich 5.51 -2.52 8.03
Tyrel Reed 4.38 1.29 3.09
Travis Releford* 2.38 -0.58 2.97
Markieff Morris 2.28 -0.59 2.87
Marcus Morris 2.97 1.02 1.95
Brady Morningstar 1.85 0.79 1.06
Mario Little* 0.42 0.00 0.42
Tyshawn Taylor 0.29 1.84 -1.55
Sherron Collins -0.26 3.69 -3.95

 

 

 

For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better

 

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Ronald Moore 6.25 -0.99 7.24
Kenny Hasbrouck 4.64 -1.96 6.60
Ryan Rossiter 5.74 0.76 4.97
Clarence Jackson 4.90 0.90 4.00
Edwin Ubiles 0.25 -0.17 0.42
Owen Wignot* 0.00 -0.33 0.33
Kyle Downey 1.84 2.14 -0.30
Steven Priestley* -0.82 0.37 -1.19
Josh Duell* -2.32 0.73 -3.05
Alex Franklin -1.11 2.31 -3.42

 

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Alex Franklin  

 

 (PSAN70-O = Offensive efficiency, PSAN70-D = Defensive efficiency.
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better.)

 

 

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Travis Releford* 11.20 -2.75 13.95
Cole Aldrich 6.48 -2.96 9.44
Tyrel Reed 7.50 2.21 5.29
Markieff Morris 3.58 -0.92 4.51
Marcus Morris 6.57 2.26 4.31
Mario Little* 3.13 0.00 3.13
Brady Morningstar 2.17 0.93 1.24
Tyshawn Taylor 0.42 2.67 -2.25
Sherron Collins -0.29 4.08 -4.37

 

  

  

 For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better

 

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Ronald Moore 6.92 -1.09 8.01
Kenny Hasbrouck 5.14 -2.16 7.30
Clarence Jackson 8.78 1.61 7.17
Ryan Rossiter 6.00 0.80 5.20
Owen Wignot* 0.00 -1.56 1.56
Edwin Ubiles 0.35 -0.23 0.59
Kyle Downey 5.34 6.21 -0.87
Alex Franklin -1.74 3.63 -5.36
Steven Priestley* -30.90 13.77 -44.67
Josh Duell* -43.65 13.77 -57.41

 

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

 


 

My Observations

 

All I can say is that people hoped KU would perform as well this game as it did against Tennessee. So, I hope those people are happy, as the result was only one point off for each team.  Problem is, this wasn't Tennessee ... and Kansas had this game "in the bag" early and let it slip yet again.  This was the 5th game out of 14 in which KU's opponent shot at least 50 eFG%.  It tied for the worst this season with the Syracuse and New Mexico State games on that statistic.  It wasn't just that Siena shot way better than its 293rd-ranked 3FG% coming into the game.  It was how wide open they were when they did so.  KU is in bad need of defensive first aid, and if it doesn't get it fixed, Michigan State's 13th-rated offense, the best offense on KU's schedule so far, will rip the Jayhawks to shreds.

 

 

Player Performance Analysis

 

Well, Sherron Collins was at it again, scoring a bunch of points in Allen Fieldhouse.  Only this time, he shot very poorly (46 eFG%) and had a whopping 5 TO's to go with only 4 AST.  He did manage to make 6-of-7 from the FT line to help make his offensive rating neutral.  Other than that, in his 34 MIN, he added only 2 DREB.  On a night when KU's defense rated as one of its worst of the season, Collins didn't do provide many defensive stat fillers to protect him from the blame that comes with playing nearly the whole game.  Tough night also for his backcourt mate, Tyshawn Taylor, who shot only 44 eFG% had only 2 AST against 2 TO's with 4 REB (2 OREB) and 1 STL in 26 MIN.  The turnovers really hurt both Collins and Taylor because KU was scoring very efficiently, so possessions were worth a bunch.

 

The dependable Cole Aldrich definitely came to play though.  He finished with a career-high 24 PTS and 13 REB (4 OREB) on 69 eFG% shooting and added 4 key blocked shots and 1 STL to balance his 2 TO's.  No question, Aldrich had the best game on the court.  Most of the other Jayhawks had mediocre performances, although Tyrel Reed came through with a career-high 14 PTS on 67 eFG% shooting (2-of-4 from 3FG and 6-of-6 from FT).

 

Mario Little logged only 5 MIN in his second game, but he did manage to go 3-of-4 from the foul line and dish 2 AST with 1 TO.  Little is still searching for the first field goal of his Jayhawk career.  Travis Releford used his 8 MIN very efficiently, although mostly on the offensive end.  He made both of his shots, including one 3FG.  He also grabbed 1 REB on each end of the court to go with 1 AST, 1 TO and 1 STL.  Pretty good work for a guy who is still fighting for playing time.

 

Siena had a shooting night for the ages, at least for them.  This was their 2nd highest eFG% for the season, and the two biggest reasons were Clarence Jackson and Ronald Moore.  They shot 73% and 60% from the floor (eFG%), respectively.  Although Jackson didn't do much else besides the scoring, his efficiency level was still sky high because he did his damage in only 21 MIN versus Moore's 34 MIN.  Moore added 4 REB (2 OREB), 8 AST and 3 STL against 2 TO's.  Solid work for a guy who came in to the game with essentially an NCAA average efficiency level (near zero).  

 

 

 

Offensive and Defensive Performance

 

Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team.  That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense.  This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.

 

 

 (pts per 100 poss) Kansas Siena
Offensive Performance
126.7 126.2
Defensive Performance 106.7
105.2

 Comments

This was a near identical performance by both teams on both sides of the ball.

 

 

Four Factor Analysis

(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)

 

What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(not necessarily supposed to add up to final margin)

Statistic MeasuredKansasSiena
eFG% 2.5
TO Rate--
--
O-Reb%7.2
 
FreethrowsFT Pct1.0
 
FT Attempts15.0
 

 

 

Game Projections

 

 
Projection
Actual
Comments

 OVERALL RESULTS

 Final Score  KU 81-68  KU 91-84
 
 Tempo (# poss)
 72 74 

 FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES

 eFG%  KU 56-45%  SC 55-53%If this doesn't shock you, I don't know what would.  Siena has NOT been a good shooting team, especially from 3FG, and they lit KU up. 
 TO Rate (lo better)  SC 23-21%  Tie 16%
This was key for KU, as Siena was scoring very efficiently and would have converted TO's into many more points than usual.
 O-Reb% KU 42-31%
 KU 47-27%
Big factor in KU's offensive efficiency.
 FT Rate SC 30-23%
 KU 43-15%
Probably a big surprise, as KU usually doesn't dominate this category. 
 Four Factors Overall
 Too big a shooting advantage to KU for Siena to overcome with expected edges in TO's and FT's.  FT attempts and rebounding propelled KU to a surprisingly close victory.
 
 

PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played)

 Leading Scorers

 KU - Collins, Aldrich

 Opp - Ubiles, Franklin

 KU - Aldrich, Collins

 Opp - Moore, Jackson

 
 Highest PSAN-Comp
(game impact)

 KU - Aldrich

 Opp - Rossiter

 KU - Aldrich

 Opp - Moore (Rossiter #3)

 
 Highest PSAN70-Comp
(efficiency)

 KU - Aldrich

 Opp - Rossiter

 KU - Aldrich

 Opp - Moore (Rossiter #4)

 
 Highest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Marcus Morris, Reed

 Opp - Jackson

 KU - Reed, Markieff Morris

 Opp - Jackson, Hasbrouck

 See what I said?  Markieff ended up having a good game.  At least it didn't mean Marcus struggled ... he finished slightly better than his usual, actually.
 Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Collins, Markieff Morris

 Opp - Hasbrouck, Franklin

 KU - Collins, Taylor

 Opp - Franklin, Downey

  Boy, did Collins struggle versus his usual self.  It didn't appear that way to many, as he poured in 18 PTS, but you cannot ignore his 5 TO's and lack of defensive contribution, at least the kind that show up in the boxscore.

 

 

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