Sports and Numbers

 
Recap: Kansas vs Emporia State (Exhibition) Print E-mail
Nov 11, 2008

Kansas 103 - Emporia State 58

 PSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

All ratings are adjusted for quality of opponent

PSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

PSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Sherron Collins
Lowest Composite: Lamar Wilbern

 (PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact.
For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better.)

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Sherron Collins 7.80 -1.59 9.39
Cole Aldrich 5.26 -3.27 8.53
Marcus Morris 1.97 -2.17 4.14
Brady Morningstar 1.87 -1.26 3.13
Brennan Bechard* 2.39 -0.04 2.42
Quintrell Thomas 0.95 -1.10 2.05
Tyrel Reed 0.94 -0.89 1.83
Matt Kleinmann* 1.25 -0.04 1.28
Markieff Morris -0.74 -1.55 0.81
Tyrone Appleton* -0.24 0.16 -0.40
Travis Releford -0.66 0.20 -0.86
Jordan Juenemann* -0.95 0.00 -0.95
Conner Teahan -1.15 0.36 -1.50
Tyshawn Taylor -1.98 0.16 -2.14

 

 

For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better

PLAYER PSAN-O PSAN-D PSAN-Comp
Adam Holthaus 3.61 0.83 2.78
Alex Pyle 3.54 0.94 2.60
Jordan Stout* -1.28 -1.37 0.08
Doug Moore -0.70 -0.41 -0.29
Dustin Burdolski* -0.64 0.00 -0.64
Tim Niles* -1.52 0.07 -1.59
Spencer Allen -1.36 0.65 -2.02
Matt Boswell 0.24 2.32 -2.07
Robert Moores -0.91 1.82 -2.72
Dustin Andrews -0.95 2.08 -3.03
Jeremiah Box -0.98 2.52 -3.50
Shang Ping -3.56 0.62 -4.18
Lamar Wilbern -5.77 2.27 -8.04

  

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Shang Ping

   

 (PSAN70-O = Offensive efficiency, PSAN70-D = Defensive efficiency.
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better.)

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Cole Aldrich 10.87 -6.74 17.61
Sherron Collins 14.49 -2.95 17.45
Brennan Bechard* 12.68 -0.19 12.86
Marcus Morris 4.59 -5.03 9.62
Quintrell Thomas 2.71 -3.16 5.86
Matt Kleinmann* 5.15 -0.15 5.30
Brady Morningstar 3.16 -2.12 5.28
Tyrel Reed 1.74 -1.65 3.40
Markieff Morris -1.84 -3.83 2.00
Tyrone Appleton* -0.99 0.65 -1.63
Travis Releford -1.74 0.53 -2.27
Conner Teahan -3.04 0.94 -3.99
Tyshawn Taylor -3.87 0.31 -4.18
Jordan Juenemann* -8.86 0.00 -8.86

  

  

 For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better

PLAYER PSAN70-O PSAN70-D PSAN70-Comp
Alex Pyle 6.57 1.75 4.82
Adam Holthaus 6.09 1.40 4.69
Jordan Stout* -7.94 -8.46 0.52
Doug Moore -2.61 -1.52 -1.09
Spencer Allen -1.81 0.86 -2.67
Matt Boswell 0.60 5.74 -5.13
Jeremiah Box -1.45 3.74 -5.19
Robert Moores -1.87 3.75 -5.62
Tim Niles* -7.04 0.34 -7.38
Dustin Burdolski* -7.94 0.00 -7.94
Dustin Andrews -2.94 6.45 -9.40
Lamar Wilbern -9.74 3.83 -13.58
Shang Ping -12.02 2.11 -14.13

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 


 

Offensive and Defensive Performance

 

Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team.  That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense.  This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.

 

For the exhibition games, I am estimating team efficiencies.  For Kansas, I am using the #24 offensive efficiency and defensive effiency from last season, reflecting KU's AP ranking of #24.  For Emporia State, I am using the #300 offensive and defensive efficiencies, reflecting a fairly weak team but leaving room for them to be somewhat decent for their lower division.

 

 

 (pts per 100 poss) Kansas Emporia State
Offensive Performance
124.1 88.3
Defensive Performance 87.3
118.3

 Comments

Kansas was clearly superior on both ends of the court.

 

 

 

Four Factor Analysis

(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)

 

What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(not necessarily supposed to add up to final margin)

Statistic MeasuredKansasEmporia State
eFG%34.4
 
TO Rate3.2
 
O-Reb%9.0 
FreethrowsFT Pct0.4
 
FT Attempts2.6
 

 

 

 FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES

 eFG%  KU 68-41%
 TO Rate (lo better)  KU 21-17%
 O-Reb% KU 44-17%
 FT Rate KU 22-19%
 Bottom Line
 When KU shot, the shot effectively went in two-thirds of the time.  When it didn't, KU got the rebound nearly half of the time.  You do the math ... a Four Factors thorough domination from the Jayhawks.

 

 

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