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Recap: Kansas at Colorado |
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Jan 18, 2009 |
Kansas 73 - Colorado 56 PSAN
"Total Impact" RatingsAll ratings are adjusted for quality of opponent | PSAN70
"Efficiency" RatingsPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions" | Ratings on the CourtHighest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Nate Tomlinson (PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact.
For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better.) | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Cole Aldrich | 4.42 | -4.19 | 8.61 | | Sherron Collins | 3.16 | -0.51 | 3.67 | | Tyrel Reed | 2.58 | -0.19 | 2.77 | | Marcus Morris | 1.68 | -0.37 | 2.05 | | Tyshawn Taylor | 1.64 | 0.19 | 1.45 | | Markieff Morris | 0.04 | -1.40 | 1.45 | | Brady Morningstar | -2.15 | -2.62 | 0.47 | | Tyrone Appleton* | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | Mario Little* | 0.00 | 0.16 | -0.16 | | Conner Teahan* | -0.66 | 0.45 | -1.12 | | Travis Releford* | -1.40 | 1.36 | -2.76 | For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Cory Higgins | 5.00 | -0.97 | 5.97 | | Jermyl Jackson-Wilson | 1.17 | -0.09 | 1.27 | | Ryan Kelley | 0.93 | -0.09 | 1.02 | | Austin Dufault | 0.98 | 1.35 | -0.37 | | Casey Crawford* | -1.21 | 0.01 | -1.23 | | Trey Eckloff | -2.48 | -1.24 | -1.24 | | Dwight Thorne II | 0.12 | 1.98 | -1.86 | | Nate Tomlinson | -6.41 | 0.65 | -7.07 | *Rating not based on enough data. | Ratings on the CourtHighest Composite: Cole Aldrich
Lowest Composite: Nate Tomlinson (PSAN70-O = Offensive efficiency, PSAN70-D = Defensive efficiency.
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better.) | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Cole Aldrich | 5.98 | -5.66 | 11.64 | | Tyrel Reed | 5.48 | -0.40 | 5.88 | | Marcus Morris | 3.95 | -0.88 | 4.82 | | Sherron Collins | 3.81 | -0.61 | 4.42 | | Markieff Morris | 0.11 | -3.48 | 3.59 | | Tyshawn Taylor | 3.19 | 0.36 | 2.82 | | Brady Morningstar | -3.00 | -3.66 | 0.66 | | Tyrone Appleton* | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | Mario Little* | 0.00 | 0.90 | -0.90 | | Conner Teahan* | -9.89 | 6.74 | -16.63 | | Travis Releford* | -12.46 | 12.13 | -24.59 | For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Cory Higgins | 5.57 | -1.08 | 6.66 | | Ryan Kelley | 4.16 | -0.39 | 4.55 | | Jermyl Jackson-Wilson | 2.49 | -0.20 | 2.69 | | Austin Dufault | 1.46 | 2.01 | -0.56 | | Dwight Thorne II | 0.14 | 2.32 | -2.18 | | Trey Eckloff | -4.42 | -2.21 | -2.22 | | Nate Tomlinson | -8.67 | 0.88 | -9.56 | | Casey Crawford* | -18.04 | 0.20 | -18.24 | *Rating not based on enough data. |
| Offensive and Defensive Performance
Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team. That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense. This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams. | (pts per 100 poss) | Kansas | Colorado
| Offensive Performance
| 115.1 | 97.3 | | Defensive Performance | 89.0 | 102.9 | Comments In the end, both teams ended up performing about the same level as their season averages, with Kansas slightly better and CU slightly worse. If you had to pick whether KU had a better offensive or defensive day, you'd probably pick offense. | Four Factor Analysis(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below) What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team? | Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(not necessarily supposed to add up to final margin) | | Statistic Measured | Kansas | Colorado
| | eFG% | 24.9
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| | TO Rate | --
| --
| | O-Reb% | 4.7 |
| | Freethrows | FT Pct | | 6.3
| | FT Attempts | | 2.7
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Game Projections | | Projection | Actual | Comments | OVERALL RESULTS | | Final Score | KU 79-62 | KU 73-56 | | Tempo (# poss)
| 66 | 63 | | FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES
| | eFG% | KU 61-45% | KU 72-43%
| You have to go back to Dec 1, 2003, to see a game where KU shot a better eFG%. That was on the road, against TCU, where KU shot 74%. | | TO Rate (lo better) | KU 23-21% | Tie 29%
| There were stretches where the Jayhawks acted like the basketball was a hot potato.
| | O-Reb% | KU 39-24%
| KU 43-24%
| | | FT Rate (FTA/FGA) | CU 63-55%
| CU 53-43%
| The fact that KU didn't make a high percentage kept this game from being 20+ in margin. | Four Factors Overall
| Easy shots and second-chance opportunities for KU will power their first road victory.
| KU's highest eFG% shooting in over five years hid the fact that they were giving away possessions and making poor use of the FT line. |
| PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | | Leading Scorers | KU - Collins, Aldrich Opp - Higgins, Thorne II | KU - Collins, Aldrich Opp - Higging, Dufault/Thorne II | | Highest PSAN-Comp
(game impact)
| KU - Aldrich Opp - Higgins | KU - Aldrich Opp - Higgins | | Highest PSAN70-Comp
(efficiency)
| KU - Aldrich Opp - Higgins | KU - Aldrich Opp - Higgins | | | Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Marcus Morris, Markieff Morris Opp - Knutson, Tomlinson | KU - Reed, Aldrich Opp - Higgins, Dufault | Reed is the surprise winner here, given projected struggle. Higgins was also supposed to struggle, but seeing him excel should be no surprise in general.
| | Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Reed, Collins Opp - Crawford, Higgins | KU - Morningstar Opp - Tomlinson, Thorne II | Another subpar game for Morningstar sends his ratings down for the season. Tomlinson was supposed to do better. |
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