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Feb 3, 2009 |
Kansas 75 - Baylor 65 PSAN
"Total Impact" RatingsAll ratings are adjusted for quality of opponent | PSAN70
"Efficiency" RatingsPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions" | Ratings on the CourtHighest Composite: Markieff Morris
Lowest Composite: Curtis Jerrells (PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact.
For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better.) | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Markieff Morris | 2.80 | -2.17 | 4.97 | | Sherron Collins | 1.40 | -3.19 | 4.59 | | Cole Aldrich | 1.74 | -2.83 | 4.57 | | Marcus Morris | 0.56 | -2.78 | 3.34 | | Brady Morningstar | -0.04 | -2.80 | 2.76 | | Mario Little | 2.05 | -0.61 | 2.65 | | Tyrel Reed | -0.12 | -2.61 | 2.49 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -2.36 | -0.36 | -2.00 | For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Kevin Rogers | 1.61 | -2.52 | 4.12 | | LaceDarius Dunn | 1.46 | -0.43 | 1.89 | | Josh Lomers* | 1.04 | -0.47 | 1.50 | | Kendall Wright* | 1.01 | -0.45 | 1.46 | | Quincy Acy | -2.73 | -3.82 | 1.09 | | Fred Ellis* | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | Henry Dugat | 0.00 | 0.38 | -0.38 | | Tweety Carter | -0.78 | 0.33 | -1.12 | | Curtis Jerrells | -3.72 | 0.35 | -4.07 | *Rating not based on enough data. | Ratings on the CourtHighest Composite: Markieff Morris
Lowest Composite: Curtis Jerrells (PSAN70-O = Offensive efficiency, PSAN70-D = Defensive efficiency.
For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better.) | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Markieff Morris | 5.71 | -4.41 | 10.12 | | Marcus Morris | 1.35 | -6.72 | 8.07 | | Mario Little | 6.09 | -1.81 | 7.90 | | Cole Aldrich | 2.41 | -3.91 | 6.32 | | Sherron Collins | 1.39 | -3.17 | 4.56 | | Tyrel Reed | -0.21 | -4.59 | 4.38 | | Brady Morningstar | -0.04 | -2.71 | 2.67 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -3.97 | -0.60 | -3.37 | For PSAN70-D, lower ratings are better | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Kendall Wright* | 39.24 | -17.32 | 56.55 | | Josh Lomers* | 4.45 | -2.02 | 6.47 | | Kevin Rogers | 1.83 | -2.86 | 4.69 | | LaceDarius Dunn | 2.09 | -0.61 | 2.70 | | Quincy Acy | -5.28 | -7.39 | 2.10 | | Fred Ellis* | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | Henry Dugat | 0.00 | 0.40 | -0.40 | | Tweety Carter | -0.87 | 0.37 | -1.23 | | Curtis Jerrells | -4.00 | 0.37 | -4.38 | *Rating not based on enough data. |
| Offensive and Defensive Performance
Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team. That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense. This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams. | (pts per 100 poss) | Kansas | Baylor
| Offensive Performance
| 108.9 | 97.7 | | Defensive Performance | 76.6
| 91.5
| Comments Both teams ended up doing better jobs on defense than their season averages. But it was KU that took it to the next level, seriously shutting down BU's offensive attack. | Four Factor Analysis(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below) What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team? | Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(not necessarily supposed to add up to final margin) | | Statistic Measured | Kansas | Baylor
| | eFG% | 9.3
|
| | TO Rate | 1.0
| | | O-Reb% | 3.8 | | | Freethrows | FT Pct | 0.5
| | | FT Attempts | | 5.5 |
Game Projections | | Projection | Actual | OVERALL RESULTS | | Final Score | KU 75-72 | KU 75-65
| Tempo (# poss)
| 70 | 72 | FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES
| | eFG% | KU 55-50% | KU 52-43% | | TO Rate (lo better) | BU 24-20% | KU 22-21%
| | O-Reb% | KU 36-29%
| KU 31-18%
| | FT Rate | BU 53-51%
| BU 53-35%
| Four Factors Overall
| Turnovers shouldn't be able to overcome the shooting and rebounding edge KU is expected to enjoy.
| KU shot better and did everything else a little better to offset handily BU's free throw attempt advantage.
| PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | | Leading Scorers | KU - Collins, Aldrich Opp - Dunn, Jerrells | KU - Collins, Marcus Morris Opp - Dugat/Rogers | Highest PSAN-Comp
(game impact)
| KU - Aldrich Opp - Dunn | KU - Markieff Morris (Aldrich #3) Opp - Rogers (Dunn #2) | Highest PSAN70-Comp
(efficiency)
| KU - Aldrich Opp - Acy | KU - Markieff Morris (Aldrich #4) Opp - Rogers (Acy #3) | | Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Reed, Taylor Opp - Acy, Carter | KU - Markieff Morris, Marcus Morris Opp - Rogers | | Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Little, Collins Opp - Jerrells, Dugat | KU - Taylor, Aldrich Opp - Jerrells, Carter |
Pre-Game Keys to Watch For | Keys to Watch For | Metric | Result | Edge (Comments) | | Baylor can shoot lights out from behind the arc. KU has a great first-shot defense, but offensive rebounds are one of the best opportunities for a team to get an open look at the 3FG. KU must limit these chances if they want to keep BU's offensive efficiency in check. | KU to limit Baylor's OREB% to 33 or lower (NCAA average). | KU shut them down - 18% | KANSAS - Key reason for KU's ability to avoid major Baylor runs.
| | If KU turns it over like they have of late, it won't matter how high their eFG% is. KU must get looks at the basket to keep pace with the Bears. | KU to limit own TO% to 22 or lower.
| TO Rate was 21% | KANSAS - Still shaky, but controlled it enough to let other advantages work their magic. |
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