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Recap: Northern Arizona at Kansas Print E-mail
Nov 22, 2007

Kansas 87 - Northern Arizona 46

 cPSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

PSAN ratings adjusted for quality of opponent

cPSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

cPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

Ratings on the Court

Highest: Darrell Arthur
Lowest: Matt Johnson

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
Darrell Arthur 6.86
Tyrel Reed 5.83
Rodrick Stewart 5.74
Conner Teahan 4.55
Darnell Jackson 3.93
Sasha Kaun 3.74
Cole Aldrich 3.68
Mario Chalmers 3.05
Matt Kleinmann 1.50
Brandon Rush 0.94
Russell Robinson 0.69
Brad Witherspoon* 0.00
Jeremy Case -0.35
Brennan Bechard* -0.82
Chase Buford* -2.81

 

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
Cameron Jones 0.30
Nick Larson 0.08
Shane Johannsen -0.98
Zarko Comagic -1.30
Nathan Geiser -1.41
Josh Wilson -1.66
Zach Filzen -2.15
George Sharp -3.10
Kyle Landry -3.14
Matt Johnson -5.33

  

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest: Conner Teahan
Lowest: George Sharp

   

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
Conner Teahan 27.64
Rodrick Stewart 12.83
Matt Kleinmann 12.74
Darrell Arthur 12.14
Tyrel Reed 11.79
Darnell Jackson 11.12
Sasha Kaun 9.93
Cole Aldrich 9.19
Mario Chalmers 6.48
Brandon Rush 2.49
Russell Robinson 1.28
Brad Witherspoon* 0.00
Jeremy Case -1.65
Brennan Bechard* -11.63
Chase Buford* -39.82

  

  

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
Cameron Jones 0.60
Nick Larson 0.19
Zarko Comagic -2.40
Josh Wilson -2.71
Shane Johannsen -3.21
Nathan Geiser -3.33
Kyle Landry -4.94
Zach Filzen -5.36
Matt Johnson -8.08
George Sharp -13.17

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

Comments and Observations

Finally, KU comes out of the gate sharp and firing on all cylinders.  They had the Lumberjacks on their heels, rushed, and lost immediately.  Before they knew what hit them, the game had become a simple matter of tinkering with player combinations for Coach Self and seeing how many seconds it takes for Conner Teahan to make multiple three-pointers in mop-up time ... again.  The most important thing we learned from this game is that KU can take advantage of its interior strength and talent superiority when it's there and that Darrell Arthur can play a very efficient game in those circumstances.  Almost as important was that KU's defense will be solid, particularly its shooting defense.  This was the first game where the Jayhawks reverted to their smothering defense of the last two seasons.  This should be the norm for most games.

 

Four Factor Analysis

  • eFG% - KU continues its amazing run with its best shooting this season, winning this category 70-37%!
  • TURNOVERS - No surprise, advantage to KU 27-14%
  • OFFENSIVE REBOUNDING - Edge to KU, 36-23%
  • FREETHROW RATE (FTM/FGA) - 12-11% slight edge to KU as neither team utilized FT line well at all.
What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained

Statistic MeasuredKansasNorthern Arizona
eFG%36.8
 
TO Rate9.0
 
O-Reb%2.5
 
FreethrowsFT Pct 5.0
FT Attempts6.0 

CONCLUSION - This was all about shooting.  KU was expected to shoot well, but not this well!  And NAU shot nowhere near its season average, or even the season average of KU opponents for that matter.  Outside of that 37-pt advantage, do any of the other categories matter?

 

Player Performance Analysis


This game had about four equal star contributors for Kansas.  Arthur, Reed and Stewart had more overall impact than Jackson, but DJ had about the same efficiency in somewhat less playing time.  Arthur had his first solid shooting effort (8-of-10 FG) to go with his usual high scoring and rebounding.  Reed shot 100 eFG% to score 8 PTS and 5 AST in 21 MIN.  Stewart shot an incredible 117 eFG% on his way to scoring 8 PTS, 4 AST, and 2 STL.  Jackson had another solid scoring (13 PTS) and rebounding (8 REB, 1 was OREB) effort plus his first ever 3FG.  There had been word of his improved range and occasional 3FG's in practice, but we will have to see if this actually pans out.  He seemed to look for it rather quickly after making his first one, so he had better show some discipline in testing his range.

 

Right behind that pack, Kaun and Aldrich had very efficient, almost-identical efforts.  Each played about 16 minutes, scored 7 PTS, 3 REB, made all three FG attempts, and made only 1-of-3 or 1-of-4 FT's.  Kaun had 3 BLK, while Aldrich had just 1 BLK but added 2 STL.  Chalmers had a tame game by comparison, but a good effort nonetheless.  He made half his FG's and had 6 AST to go with 3 STL.

 

Rush and Robinson both had subpar outings.  In Rush's case, it's understandable given his recovery from the torn ACL.  In only 16 MIN, he started hot by making his first two 3FG's but missed his other shots.  Despite that, he finished with 60 eFG% shooting, 6 PTS, and one or two of every other statistical category item.  Rush's back-to-back 3FG's helped set the tone that this was going to be a blowout.  Robinson struggled with his shot (42 eFG%) and had only 5 PTS, 3 AST with 0 STL in 23 MIN. Finally, the amazing Conner Teahan provided an encore of his 3FG shooting demonstration.  In just 7 MIN, he made all three 3FG's and had 1 AST.  Most efficient effort of the night by far, but this is one of those instances where you have to override the statistical analysis with context.  Teahan played only when the game didn't matter.

 

Comparison to Pre-Game Projections

(For now, this is just to familiarize you with the format.  Not enough data went into these projections for accuracy.)

 

  Projected Actual Accuracy / Notes
 Final Score  KU 91-73  KU 87-46  Fair
 eFG%  NAU 59-52%  KU 70-37%  Poor
 TO Rate (lo better)  NAU 32-15%  NAU 27-14%
 Good
 O-Reb% KU 33-24% KU 36-23% Excellent
 FT Rate NAU 31-24% KU 12-11%  Poor
 KU Leading Scorers Arthur, Chalmers Arthur, Jackson Good
 KU highest cPSAN Jackson Arthur Poor
 Highest efficiency vs season-to-date Arthur, Robinson Arthur, Stewart Good - Teahan and Kleinmann season-to-date ratings not based on enough data to qualify them
 Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date Case, Stewart
 Rush, Robinson Poor