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Recap: Kansas at Georgia Tech Print E-mail
Dec 18, 2007

Kansas 71 - Georgia Tech 66

 cPSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

PSAN ratings adjusted for quality of opponent

cPSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

cPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

Ratings on the Court

Highest: Anthony Morrow
Lowest: Zach Peacock

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
R. Robinson, G 4.97
B. Rush, G 4.41
S. Kaun, C 3.47
R. Stewart, G 2.21
D. Arthur, F 1.22
M. Chalmers, G 0.53
S. Collins, G 0.49
C. Aldrich, C* 0.00
D. Jackson, F -0.88

 

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
A. Morrow, G 7.04
L. Clinch, G 5.69
M. Causey, G 2.25
D. Bell, G-F 2.00
G. Lawal, F 0.94
M. Miller, G 0.62
A. Aminu, F-C 0.51
L. Storrs, G* 0.05
J. Smith, F -0.70
Z. Peacock, F -3.81

  

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest: Anthony Morrow
Lowest: Zach Peacock

   

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
R. Stewart, G 6.94
B. Rush, G 6.20
R. Robinson, G 5.96
S. Kaun, C 5.44
D. Arthur, F 2.61
S. Collins, G 0.83
M. Chalmers, G 0.66
C. Aldrich, C* 0.00
D. Jackson, F -1.71

  

  

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
A. Morrow, G 10.53
M. Causey, G 6.47
L. Clinch, G 6.38
D. Bell, G-F 3.23
G. Lawal, F 2.72
M. Miller, G 2.08
A. Aminu, F-C 1.08
L. Storrs, G* 0.51
J. Smith, F -1.35
Z. Peacock, F -5.69

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

Comments and Observations

The officiating made this a painful game to watch.  Hard fouls were being allowed, while touch fouls got whistled.  It felt as though KU was clearly the better team most of the game, but when Self decided to slow things down on offense (presumably to run out the clock), that's when things got ugly.  Taking the air out of the ball, so to speak, also takes the pep out of players' steps.  All sense of urgency was gone and replaced with a "hang on for a little while longer" attitude.  I hope Self abandons this, but it's been like this many times before, so I'm guessing it will happen again.  Despite three consecutive misses late in the game, KU shot 68% from the line to hang on.  People may have cursed Russell Robinson for missing both his free throws when he could have iced the game, but he was the biggest reason KU even had a big lead to cushion itself with near the end.

 

Offensive and Defensive Performance

 

Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team.  That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense.  This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.

 

 

 (pts per 100 poss) Kansas Ga Tech
Offensive Performance
99.8
125.6
Defensive Performance 86.5
88.6

 Comments

GT played significantly better offense, while KU played slightly better defense. On both sides of the ball, GT's performance was the deciding factor more than KU's performance.  Though GT outplayed KU, it was not enough to overcome the gap in team strength.

 

 

 

Four Factor Analysis

(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)

 

What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(does not add up to game margin because teams may capitalize better or worse than average on TO's and OREB)

Statistic MeasuredKansasGeorgia Tech
eFG%7.8
 
TO Rate--
--
O-Reb% 2.9
FreethrowsFT Pct 0.2
FT Attempts6.2
 

 

Player Performance Analysis

 

(Brief due to time constraints)

 

Morrow and Clinch put on a show for GT.  Clinch was the leading scorer and prolific shooter, but Morrow had the more efficient game.  Causey's efficiency is high because he made most of his shots in limited playing time, but the boxscore can't capture how costly his last turnover was when GT was going for the tie with under 10 seconds left.  The Kansas ratings were a bit more balanced but with deservedly lower ratings, since GT did outperform KU this game.  Robinson had an unexpected offensive explosion, although he missed three consecutive free throws very late that could have iced the game.  Rush and Kaun both shot well and each had numerous blocks.  Kaun even made 5-of-6 free throws!  It was a tough game for team stars, Jackson and Chalmers.  Neither got established all that well, and both fouled out.  Arthur got in foul trouble, and Collins shot poorly and turned it over.  Rodrick Stewart actually had the most efficient game, making both his FG's and grabbing 3 REB in just 13 MIN. 

 

 

Game Projections

 

 
Projection
 Actual
Comments

 OVERALL RESULTS

 Final Score  KU 83-67  KU 71-66
 
 Tempo (# poss)
 75 69 

 FOUR FACTORS

(Team with advantage)
 eFG%  KU 57-47%  KU 59-51%
 Lots of good shooting on both sides.
 TO Rate (lo better)  KU 29-21%  Even 26%
 GT negated an expected KU advantage.
 O-Reb% KU 33-31% GT 32-22%
 Really disappointing effort from Jayhawks.
 FT Rate KU 46-27% KU 37-20%
 As expected
 Four Factors Overall
 FT attempts and eFG% drive KU advantage.  An unexpected tie in TO rate and nice boost for GT in OREB% helped balance the eFG% and FTA advantage of Kansas 
 Leading Scorers

 KU - Chalmers, Arthur, Collins

 Opp - Morrow, Clinch

 KU - Robinson, Chalmers, Rush, Collins

 Opp - Clinch, Morrow 

 Arthur scored a measley 6 PTS.

 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

(Minimum 10 mins played)

 Highest cPSAN
(game impact)

 KU - Chalmers

 Opp - Morrow

 KU - Robinson (Chalmers #6)

 Opp - Morrow 

 
 Highest cPSAN70
(efficiency)

 KU - Chalmers

 Opp - Morrow 

 KU - Stewart (Chalmers #7)

 Opp - Morrow 

 
 Highest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Collins, Chalmers

 Opp - Miller, Morrow

 KU - Stewart, Rush

 Opp - Clinch, Causey 

 
 Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Rush, Stewart

 Opp - Causey, Clinch 

 KU - Jackson, Chalmers

 Opp - Peacock, Smith 

 Ouch! The exact group projected to do worse was the group that did best compared to season performance to date.

 

 

Pre-Game Keys to Watch For

Keys to Watch For

Metric

Result

Edge (Comments)

 KU's biggest projected scoring differential is due to free throw attempt disparity, something that hasn't been a KU strength most of the season.  This may be an area of weakness GT has a chance to address this game. GT free throw attempts within 5 of KU number
KU took 9 more FT's

 KANSAS

 OREB is expected to be a real battle.  If either team can turn this into a significant advantage, it could be a difference maker. Either team to have at least 7% advantage in OREB%
 GT had 10% edge
 GT - Helped keep things uncomfortably close for KU
 GT is expected to struggle mightily shooting the 2FG, so it becomes paramount that they make their 3FG's if they are to get any offense. GT to shoot at least 40% from 3FG
 GT shot 36.8%
 KANSAS