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Recap: Kansas at Colorado Print E-mail
Feb 3, 2008

Kansas 72 - Colorado 59

 cPSAN
"Total Impact" Ratings

PSAN ratings adjusted for quality of opponent

cPSAN70
"Efficiency" Ratings

cPSAN ratings expressed as "per 70 possessions"

Ratings on the Court

Highest: Richard Roby
Lowest: Levi Knutson

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
Darnell Jackson 5.85
Mario Chalmers 5.33
Sasha Kaun 3.50
Brandon Rush 1.95
Darrell Arthur 0.95
Russell Robinson 0.87
Sherron Collins 0.74
Rodrick Stewart 0.51
Cole Aldrich* 0.00
Jeremy Case* -0.10

 

 

 

PLAYER cPSAN
  R. Roby 6.87
  M. Hall 4.88
  C. Higgins 1.58
  M. King-Stockton 1.40
  D. Thorne II 0.14
  J. Jackson-Wilson -0.72
  C. Patterson* -0.84
  J. Coney* -1.46
  L. Knutson -4.52

  

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 Ratings on the Court

Highest: Darnell Jackson
Lowest: Levi Knutson

   

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
Darnell Jackson 8.71
Mario Chalmers 8.20
Sasha Kaun 7.44
Brandon Rush 2.72
Rodrick Stewart 2.29
Sherron Collins 1.95
Darrell Arthur 1.69
Russell Robinson 1.18
Cole Aldrich* 0.00
Jeremy Case* -2.31

  

  

 

PLAYER cPSAN70
  R. Roby 8.07
  M. Hall 5.45
  M. King-Stockton 2.32
  C. Higgins 1.81
  D. Thorne II 0.26
  J. Jackson-Wilson -3.23
  C. Patterson* -7.47
  L. Knutson -14.43
  J. Coney* -32.68

 

*Rating not based on enough data.

 

 

 

Comments and Observations

 

One would have hoped Kansas would come out more fired up and energetic after the big loss Wednesday.  Instead, the Jayhawks looked slow and unfocused.  Comments made by Russell Robinson were misinterpreted by many as an insult to Richard Roby, which may well have fired Roby up.  In the end, during the brief stretches where the referees weren't blowing their whistles, KU's talent eventually won out.

 

 

 

Offensive and Defensive Performance

 

Using the outcome of the game and the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team, performance indicates (in PTS per 100 Possessions) how each team would have fared against an average team.  That is, KU's offensive performance is how many points per 100 possessions KU would have scored against an average defense.  This provides a standard performance we can compare across teams.

 

 

 (pts per 100 poss) Kansas Colorado
Offensive Performance
118.2 117.2
Defensive Performance 91.5
94.8

 Comments

If the game had finished the way it was played for the first 30 minutes, these numbers would have skewed in CU's favor.  Instead, we see that KU's performance on both sides of the ball was slightly better than CU's.  Compared to season averages, KU underperformed slightly on the offensive side and more significantly on defense.  CU performed significantly better than usual on both ends.

 

 

 

Four Factor Analysis

(Actual statistics moved to Game Projections table below)

 

What did the difference in this
statistic mean to each team?

Scoring Margin Advantage Gained
(does not add up to game margin because teams may capitalize better or worse than average on TO's and OREB)

Statistic MeasuredKansasColorado
eFG%3.5
 
TO Rate 4.2
O-Reb%3.1 
FreethrowsFT Pct4.2
 
FT Attempts10.8
 

 

Player Performance Analysis


Sorry, no time for this analysis. 

 

Game Projections

 

 
Projection
 Actual
Comments

 OVERALL RESULTS

 Final Score  KU 82-56  KSU 84-75 
 Tempo (# poss)
 68 72 Probably mostly a result of KSU not losing the ball as often as projected.

 FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES

 eFG%  KU 57-44%  KU 57-53%
 Disturbing that KU has now yielded at least 52 eFG% shooting in two straight games. 
 TO Rate (lo better)  KU 24-18%  CU 26-19%
 Another shock is that KU again turns the ball over more than the opp.
 O-Reb% KU 38-25%
 KU 35-22%
 
 FT Rate CU 24-23%  KU 47-12%
 This bailed the Jayhawks out.
 Four Factors Overall
 Shooting will give a huge boost to KU, and the other three factors provide small cushions to add up to a projected blowout.  Biggest reason for victory was KU's FT attempt discrepancy, followed closely by its ability to shoot better at the FT line.  Biggest differences between projected advantage and actual came in eFG% and FT attempts.  The first worked out better for CU.  Surprising TO advantage for CU made final result not as convincing for KU.
 

PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played)

 Leading Scorers

 KU - Arthur/Chalmers/Jackson

 Opp - Roby, Hall

 KU - Jackson, Rush

 Opp - Roby, Hall

 
 Highest cPSAN
(game impact)

 KU - Jackson

 Opp - King-Stockton

 KU - Jackson

 Opp - Roby (King-Stockton #4)

 
 Highest cPSAN70
(efficiency)

 KU - Jackson

 Opp - King-Stockton

 KU - Jackson

 Opp - Roby (King-Stockton #3) 

 
 Highest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Kaun, Jackson

 Opp - King-Stockton

 KU - Kaun, Jackson

 Opp - Roby, Hall

 
 Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date

 KU - Stewart

 Opp - Roby, Knutson

 KU - Robinson, Rush

 Opp - Knutson, Jackson-Wilson