Tennessee Tech at Kansas (Lawrence, KS)| | Kansas | Tennessee Tech
| Performance Indicators
| | | Record (conference)
| 4-0 | 3-3 | | AP Rank | 1
| NR
| Pomeroy Rating
(Updated daily) | 7
(not enough data)
| 289
(not enough data)
| Consensus Ranking
(Updated periodically - avg several computer ratings and polls) | 1
(includes computer rankings with not enoug data)
| 247
(includes computer rankings with not enoug data)
| Best opponents defeated this season
(Ranking from Pomeroy) | vs Memphis (#40) W 57-55 | @ Lipscomb (#288) W 92-89 | RPI
(Used for schedule strength, not team strength. Current and forecast RPI from RPIForecast .) | Current: 48 Forecast: 3 | Current: 236 Forecast: 234 | Projected NCAA Tournament Seed
(Latest consensus from The Bracket Matrix) | #1 Seed
| Out
| Prediction Models | | | | Vegas Oddsmakers | Win by 35
Est. Projection: TBD | | Prediction Tracker
(Average of several power ratings) | Win by TBD | | | Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor) | Win by 32.9 | | Pomeroy
(Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted) | Win 107-60
% chance of victory not available | | TeamRankings.com
(Use home rating for home team, road for road. If fewer than 3 games played at corresponding locations, use "predictive" ratings for both teams but use specific home advantage rather than standard average homecourt advantage for all NCAA teams.) | Win by 25.4 | | Last 7 Games (Venue Adjusted)
(Uses team performance and consistency over last 5 home/non-home games, whichever pertains to this game + 2 other most recent games regardless of location. NEW - This takes offense and defense into account separately to reflect how consistent teams have played on each end of the court) | Est. Projection: 105-59
99.7% chance of victory | | Weighted Average of All Models Above
(40% Vegas + 10% Pred Trckr + 10% SagPred + 10% Pom + 10% TmRnkgs + 20% Last 7) | Win by 37.6
Est. Projection: 101-64 | |
PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This Season(PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact. For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better. PSAN70 ratings are just PSAN expressed as "per 70 possessions" to reflect efficiency. The difference between ePSAN and PSAN is that "e" is enhanced and weighs recent games more - used for Kansas only.) Kansas Impact Ratings
| PLAYER | ePSAN-O | ePSAN-D | ePSAN-Comp | | Xavier Henry | 18.76 | -3.99 | 22.75 | | Sherron Collins | 16.29 | -5.22 | 21.51 | | Marcus Morris | 15.54 | -3.77 | 19.31 | | Cole Aldrich | 6.71 | -10.95 | 17.66 | | Markieff Morris | 12.25 | -2.79 | 15.04 | | Tyrel Reed | 8.13 | -3.58 | 11.71 | | Elijah Johnson | 6.00 | 0.65 | 5.35 | | Chase Buford* | 1.26 | -0.07 | 1.32 | | C.J. Henry* | 1.18 | 0.15 | 1.03 | | Conner Teahan* | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.03 | | Thomas Robinson | -3.41 | -2.34 | -1.07 | | Jordan Juenemann* | -1.53 | 0.46 | -1.99 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -7.86 | -3.08 | -4.78 | Efficiency Ratings
| PLAYER | ePSAN70-O | ePSAN70-D | ePSAN70-Comp | | Markieff Morris | 9.25 | -2.11 | 11.35 | | Xavier Henry | 6.88 | -1.46 | 8.34 | | Sherron Collins | 5.70 | -1.83 | 7.53 | | Marcus Morris | 6.02 | -1.46 | 7.48 | | Cole Aldrich | 2.71 | -4.42 | 7.12 | | Tyrel Reed | 4.87 | -2.14 | 7.01 | | Chase Buford* | 5.52 | -0.30 | 5.82 | | Elijah Johnson | 4.71 | 0.51 | 4.21 | | C.J. Henry* | 4.05 | 0.52 | 3.53 | | Conner Teahan* | -0.23 | -0.29 | 0.06 | | Thomas Robinson | -2.96 | -2.03 | -0.93 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -3.27 | -1.28 | -1.99 | | Jordan Juenemann* | -7.62 | 2.27 | -9.88 | * Rating not based on enough data. | Tennessee Tech
Impact Ratings | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Alfred Jones | 10.89 | 5.66 | 5.23 | | Riley Hunley* | 2.81 | -1.16 | 3.97 | | Charles Newton* | -0.14 | -0.60 | 0.47 | | Jud Dillard | 1.29 | 5.49 | -4.20 | | Frank Davis | 7.47 | 12.43 | -4.96 | | Kevin Murphy | 1.37 | 10.82 | -9.45 | | Byron Pickens | -4.28 | 6.62 | -10.90 | | Terrell Barnes | -7.74 | 4.80 | -12.53 | | Zach Bailey | -8.68 | 5.35 | -14.03 | | Bassey Inameti | -6.24 | 8.83 | -15.07 | | Elijah Muhammad | -12.19 | 9.13 | -21.33 | Efficiency Ratings | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Riley Hunley* | 7.33 | -3.03 | 10.36 | | Alfred Jones | 3.14 | 1.63 | 1.50 | | Charles Newton* | -0.29 | -1.31 | 1.02 | | Frank Davis | 1.72 | 2.86 | -1.14 | | Jud Dillard | 0.48 | 2.03 | -1.55 | | Kevin Murphy | 0.30 | 2.34 | -2.04 | | Terrell Barnes | -2.52 | 1.56 | -4.09 | | Elijah Muhammad | -2.65 | 1.99 | -4.64 | | Bassey Inameti | -2.28 | 3.23 | -5.52 | | Zach Bailey | -3.61 | 2.23 | -5.84 | | Byron Pickens | -2.30 | 3.55 | -5.85 | * Rating not based on enough data. |
Player Analysis:(largely in context of ratings above) Sorry, no time to do this for this game. Just note that Cole Aldrich has dropped significantly on KU's side of things for now. Don't expect that to be the case later though. Only one player for Tennessee Tech has an above average rating (Jones).
Last 7 Game Analysis | | Kansas | Tennessee Tech | | Expected Score | 105.2 | 59.0 | | Win | 99.7% | 0.3% | | Win by 3 or less | 0.2% | 0.1% | | Win by 10 or more | 98.5% | 0.0% | Down to the Wire?
Margin of game was less than 1 point in 0.1% of simulated games from "Last 7 Game Analysis." Many of these would be "overtime" games. (Methodology of Last 7 Game Analysis: Here, we look at the last seven venue-appropriate games to see how the teams are performing. If the game takes place on the road for Kansas, for example, the analysis looks at the five most recent non-home games for Kansas. In addition, the two most recent games, regardless of venue, are added. That way, we get a picture of the how the team is performing of late. This season, the analysis also splits offense and defense. Teams often are more or less consistent on one side of the court than the other. This analysis will reflect that. Based on the strength of the opposing offense and defense they've played over the last seven games, each team's offense and defense is evaluated based on strength and consistency. Those numbers are then plugged into a simulation of 8,000 games. The results are what you see in the table.) Opponent Four Factor Analysis
Based on the cumulative season boxscore for the opponent, we can look at the Four Factors to see where the team has derived the bulk of its (dis)advantage in terms of scoring margin versus its opponents to date. Here is the breakdown for KU's opponent this game: | | Tenn Tech
| Opp | Advantage | | | eFG% | 47.40% | 53.46% | -42.0 | | | TO Rate | 26.10% | 21.21% | -21.5 | | | OREB% | 35.00% | 39.17% | -9.3 | | | FTA/FGA | 20.81% | 30.55% | -3.8 | FT Pct | | | | | -30.2 | FT Attempts | ANALYSIS: There's not one key area that the Golden Eagles have outplayed their opponents. The only ones that were close were FT Pct (but overall FT was devastatingly bad) and offensive rebounds. Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis(Note: These are based on raw statistics that are unadjusted for strength of opposition.) | ** Denotes that team with advantage also ranks in Top 50 in that category | | Clear Advantage for Kansas | No Clear Advantage | Clear Advantage for Tenn Tech | | Kansas PTS/Poss** | | | | Tenn Tech % own 2FGA's blocked** | | | | Kansas eFG%** | | | | Kansas 2pt FG% | | | | Kansas OREB** | | | | Tenn Tech % Poss STL by Opp** | | | | Kansas FT Rate | | | | Tenn Tech TO rate | | | | Tenn Tech 2pt FG%** | | | | Tenn Tech eFG%** | | | | Kansas % own 2FGA's blocked | | | | Tenn Tech PTS/Poss** | | | | Kansas % Poss STL by Opp** | | | | Tenn Tech FT Rate | | | | Kansas TO rate** | | | | Kansas 3pt FG%** | | | | Tenn Tech 3pt FG%** | | | | | Tenn Tech FT% | | | | Tenn Tech OREB | | | | Kansas FT% | | ************************************************************* | Kansas will have above avg % of FG's assisted | | Tenn Tech will take below avg % of its FG's from 3-pt | | Tenn Tech will have below avg % of FG's assisted | | Expect uptempo game |
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Game Projections(Not a prediction. Read more details in "FAQ & Terms" section.) Manual adjustments: None.
Projected Boxscore | Kansas | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Tennessee Tech | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Kansas | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | C.J. Henry | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Chase Buford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Cole Aldrich | 25 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | | Conner Teahan | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Elijah Johnson | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Jordan Juenemann | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Marcus Morris | 26 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Markieff Morris | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Sherron Collins | 29 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | | Thomas Robinson | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | Tyrel Reed | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | Tyshawn Taylor | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | Xavier Henry | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | TOTALS | 200 | 25 | 34 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 34 | 100 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Tennessee Tech | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | Alfred Jones | 24 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | Bassey Inameti | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | Byron Pickens | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Elijah Muhammad | 31 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | Frank Davis | 30 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Jud Dillard | 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Kevin Murphy | 31 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | Terrell Barnes | 21 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Zach Bailey | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | TOTALS | 200 | 18 | 42 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 14 | 19 | 3 | 1 | Projection Summary | | Projection | Comments | OVERALL RESULTS | | Final Score | KU 100-60 | | Tempo (# poss)
| 72 | | FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES
| | eFG% | KU 75-43% | This sure seems ridiculous ... as a TEAM KU would shoot 75 eFG%? Oh, early season statistics, you're so funny! | | TO Rate (lo better) | KU 26-21% |
| | O-Reb% | KU 53-39%
| | | FT Rate | KU 67-25%
| Given that this was the single biggest advantage for Oakland coming in, let's see if this materializes (but see note above for OREB%). | Four Factors Overall
| An incredible advantage in shooting percentage and FT attempts should do the trick for KU. |
| PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | | Leading Scorers | KU - X. Henry, Collins Opp - Murphy, Davis | | Highest PSAN-Comp
(game impact)
| KU - X. Henry Opp - Davis | Davis is only TTech player projected to rate above zero (minimum 10 MIN). | Highest PSAN70-Comp
(efficiency)
| KU - Markieff Morris Opp - Davis | | | Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Johnson, X. Henry Opp - Davis, Inameti | | | Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Reed, Taylor Opp - Jones, Barnes | |
Sports and Numbers ProjectionKansas wins 100-60(not all prediction models included/complete) |
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