Kansas vs Washington (Kansas City, MO)| | Kansas | Washington
| Performance Indicators
| | | | Record | 2-0
(Non-Home: 0-0)
| 2-1
(Non-Home: 0-1)
| | AP Rank | #22 | NR
(Received 1 vote in Coaches' poll)
| Pomeroy Rating
(Updated daily) | 68
(Too early to be meaningful) | 75
(Too early to be meaningful)
| Consensus Ranking
(Updated periodically - avg several computer ratings and polls) | 11
(outdated)
| 79
(outdated)
| Best opponents defeated this season
(Ranking from Pomeroy) | None worthy of mention | None worthy of mention
| RPI
(Used for schedule strength, not team strength. Current and forecast RPI from RPIForecast .) | Current: 6 Forecast: 3 | Current: 50 Forecast: 75 | Prediction Models | | | | Vegas Oddsmakers | Win by 5.5
Est. Projection: 74-68 | | Prediction Tracker
(Average of several power ratings) | Win by 9.6 | | | Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor) | Win by 10.1 | | Pomeroy
(Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted) | Win 61-58
(Not listed - calculated from ratings)
(Not listed) % chance of victory
| | Last 7 Games (Venue Adjusted)
(Uses team performance and consistency over last 5 home/non-home games, whichever pertains to this game + 2 other most recent games regardless of location. NEW - This takes offense and defense into account separately to reflect how consistent teams have played on each end of the court!) | Win by 3.0
63.6% chance of victory
(Includes only 2 gms for KU, 3 gms for UW) | | Weighted Average of All Models Above
(30% Vegas + 20% Prediction Tracker + 15% Sagarin + 15% Pomeroy + 20% Last 7) | Win by 6.4
Est. Projection: 71-64 | |
PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This Season(PSAN-O = Offensive impact, PSAN-D = Defensive impact. For PSAN-D, lower ratings are better. PSAN70 ratings are just PSAN expressed as "per 70 possessions" to reflect efficiency. The difference between ePSAN and PSAN is that "e" is enhanced and weighs recent games more - used for Kansas only.) Kansas Impact Ratings
| PLAYER | ePSAN-O | ePSAN-D | ePSAN-Comp | | Cole Aldrich | 4.37 | -6.19 | 10.56 | | Sherron Collins | 1.49 | -4.62 | 6.12 | | Marcus Morris | -2.55 | -5.72 | 3.17 | | Tyrel Reed | -0.23 | -3.36 | 3.14 | | Markieff Morris | -3.67 | -6.76 | 3.09 | | Travis Releford | -1.20 | -2.80 | 1.60 | | Chase Buford* | 0.54 | -0.02 | 0.57 | | Brady Morningstar | -5.67 | -5.82 | 0.15 | | Tyrone Appleton* | -0.58 | 0.08 | -0.66 | | Quintrell Thomas | -4.07 | -3.11 | -0.96 | | Matt Kleinmann* | -0.81 | 0.20 | -1.02 | | Brennan Bechard* | -1.21 | 0.00 | -1.21 | | Jordan Juenemann* | -1.29 | 0.43 | -1.71 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -5.74 | -3.91 | -1.83 | | Conner Teahan* | -2.84 | -0.84 | -2.00 | Efficiency Ratings
| PLAYER | ePSAN70-O | ePSAN70-D | ePSAN70-Comp | | Chase Buford* | 9.82 | -0.37 | 10.19 | | Cole Aldrich | 4.05 | -5.74 | 9.79 | | Marcus Morris | -3.38 | -7.58 | 4.20 | | Sherron Collins | 0.86 | -2.67 | 3.53 | | Markieff Morris | -3.13 | -5.77 | 2.64 | | Tyrel Reed | -0.18 | -2.71 | 2.53 | | Travis Releford | -1.61 | -3.77 | 2.16 | | Brady Morningstar | -4.27 | -4.38 | 0.11 | | Quintrell Thomas | -6.42 | -4.90 | -1.52 | | Tyshawn Taylor | -5.88 | -4.00 | -1.88 | | Tyrone Appleton* | -3.03 | 0.43 | -3.46 | | Conner Teahan* | -7.51 | -2.23 | -5.28 | | Matt Kleinmann* | -4.89 | 1.22 | -6.10 | | Brennan Bechard* | -14.55 | 0.00 | -14.55 | | Jordan Juenemann* | -23.23 | 7.68 | -30.91 | * Rating not based on enough data. | Washington
Impact Ratings | PLAYER | PSAN-O | PSAN-D | PSAN-Comp | | Jon Brockman | 11.62 | -5.00 | 16.63 | | Justin Dentmon | 7.51 | -3.44 | 10.95 | | Justin Holiday | 4.76 | -3.81 | 8.57 | | Joe Wolfinger | 0.89 | -2.45 | 3.34 | | Elston Turner | -0.53 | -3.61 | 3.08 | | Isaiah Thomas | 2.18 | -0.62 | 2.80 | | Quincy Pondexter | -2.52 | -4.16 | 1.64 | | Artem Wallace* | -0.36 | -0.03 | -0.34 | | Darnell Gant | -2.36 | -1.59 | -0.77 | | Scott Suggs* | -1.71 | -0.69 | -1.02 | | Venoy Overton | -3.68 | -1.49 | -2.19 | Efficiency Ratings | PLAYER | PSAN70-O | PSAN70-D | PSAN70-Comp | | Justin Holiday | 3.71 | -2.97 | 6.67 | | Jon Brockman | 4.57 | -1.97 | 6.54 | | Justin Dentmon | 3.42 | -1.57 | 4.99 | | Joe Wolfinger | 0.74 | -2.03 | 2.78 | | Elston Turner | -0.44 | -3.00 | 2.56 | | Isaiah Thomas | 1.10 | -0.32 | 1.42 | | Quincy Pondexter | -1.29 | -2.13 | 0.84 | | Darnell Gant | -1.61 | -1.08 | -0.53 | | Artem Wallace* | -0.97 | -0.07 | -0.90 | | Venoy Overton | -2.26 | -0.92 | -1.34 | | Scott Suggs* | -7.98 | -3.23 | -4.75 | * Rating not based on enough data. |
Player Analysis:
(largely in context of ratings above) No time to analyze for this game in detail. Just notice that there is more balance on the UW squad, with five players who contribute on both offense and defense with the correct sign (+ for offense, - for defense). From these early numbers, it would seem that KU has the star player (Aldrich). while UW has several solid players (Holiday, Brockman and Dentmon). But remember, this is based on very limited data. We all know that Collins is a star for KU, and the youth just makes things even more unpredictable.
Last 7 Game Analysis Here, we look at the last seven venue-appropriate games to see how the teams are performing. If the game takes place on the road for Kansas, for example, the analysis looks at the five most recent non-home games for Kansas. In addition, the two most recent games, regardless of venue, are added. That way, we get a picture of the how the team is performing of late. This season, the analysis also splits offense and defense. Teams often are more or less consistent on one side of the court than the other. This analysis will reflect that. Based on the strength of the opposing offense and defense they've played over the last seven games, each team's offense and defense is evaluated based on strength and consistency. Those numbers are then plugged into a simulation of 5,000 games. The results are what you see below. | | Kansas | Washington | | Expected Score | 63.01 | 58.03 | | Win | 63.6% | 36.4% | | Win by 3 or less | 6.1% | 6.4% | | Win by 10 or more | 40.4% | 17.3% | Margin of game was less than 1 point in 4.3% of games. Highlighted Efficiency Rankings
Note: There are 344 Div-I teams
(Source: KenPom.com) | Kansas | Oklahoma | | Not provided this game | Not provided this game
| Scoring Distribution: Not provided this game |
Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis(Note: These are based on raw statistics that are unadjusted for strength of opposition.) | ** Denotes that team with advantage also ranks in Top 50 in that category | | Clear Advantage for Kansas | No Clear Advantage | Clear Advantage for Oklahoma | | | Too early to use this feature in a meaningful way. | | ************************************************************* | Expect a slightly-above average tempo. |
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Game Projections(Not a prediction. Read more details in "FAQ & Terms" section.) No manual adjustments to projections were made for this game Projected Boxscore Too early to project boxscores from current data.
Sports and Numbers ProjectionKansas wins 71-64(includes limited models) |
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