| Home |
| NCAA Basketball |
| Numbers Up |
| FAQ & Terms |
| Newsletter |
| Radio |
| Links |
| Contact |
| |
| Early editions of previews and recaps are often emailed to newsletter subscribers in advance. If you'd like to receive advance copies, click on "Newsletter" above or enter email on menu to the left to sign up. |
| Preview: Oklahoma at Kansas |
|
|
| Jan 13, 2008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oklahoma at Kansas (Lawrence, KS)
PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This SeasonNote: ePSAN70 weighs recent games more, but cPSAN70 weighs all games equally
* Rating not based on enough data. OklahomacPSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PLAYER | cPSAN70 | cPSAN |
| Blake Griffin | 7.19 | 76.52 |
| Tony Crocker | 3.71 | 43.84 |
| Longar Longar | 3.50 | 32.70 |
| Taylor Griffin | 2.97 | 18.81 |
| Austin Johnson | 2.09 | 23.32 |
| Omar Leary | 1.61 | 11.58 |
| David Godbold | 1.58 | 15.02 |
| Cade Davis | 0.84 | 3.01 |
| Tony Neysmith | 0.59 | 1.04 |
| Dau Jok* | -5.03 | -0.95 |
| Beau Gerber* | -7.13 | -2.03 |
* Rating not based on enough data.
(largely in context of ratings above)
Once again, the Jayhawks take a fairly balanced, supremely talented team into the game against an opponent with one star, a couple of solid players and several marginally effective players. This time, it's Oklahoma that offers its freshman sensation, Blake Griffin, as the major challenge KU must overcome. Griffin is shooting an outstanding 60 eFG% while using over 26% of his team's possession while on the floor. That's impressive for any player, let alone a freshman who is getting the defense's majority of attention. He's a beast on the boards (both ends), gets to the FT line with regularity, doesn't turn it over often and even gets plenty of BLK and STL. There really is nothing he's incapable of, except that he doesn't have the 3FG in his repertoire. At 6-10 and 239 pounds, he's a menacing figure and cannot be underestimated, even in the hallowed Allen Fieldhouse where KU reigns supreme.
Tony Crocker and Longar Longar are the other two main weapons for the Sooners. Crocker is the better offensive player of the two, shooting a sizzling 61 eFG% including 49% from 3FG. Both he and Longar average in double figures, but Longar shoots 55 eFG% and takes the highest percentage of the team's shots while he's on the floor (28%). Longar is a great offensive rebounder and capable shot-blocker and defensive rebounder. Along with Crocker and Blake Griffin, these three have contributed the most to OU's performance so far this season.
Austin Johnson has been efficient offensively, but he hasn't contributed a whole lot overall. He shoots a respectable 53 eFG%, including 35% from behind the arc. He does a bit of everything in his 29 MIN/g without many TO's. His FT shooting could use some improvement though (68%). Taylor Griffin is shooting 52 eFG% (46% from 3FG) but only shoots 67% from the line and turns it over too often. David Godbold is normally the other offensive weapon on this team, but he has really struggled shooting from the perimeter this season.
Brandon Rush is coming off a terrific performance against Nebraska, while Sherron Collins looks to bounce back from a poor effort. KU sports seven players with ePSAN70 ratings of +4.00, which is generally a very good player. Not one of their players is below +2.00, which is generally a good cutoff for decent performance.
Highlighted Efficiency Rankings | |
Kansas | Oklahoma |
| Provided for Phog.net preview for this game | |
Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis(Note: These are based on raw statistics that are unadjusted for strength of opposition.)
*************************************************************
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Not a prediction. Read more details in "FAQ & Terms" section.)
No manual adjustments to projections were made for this game
| Kansas | 76 | ||||||||||||||
| Oklahoma | 63 | ||||||||||||||
| Kansas | |||||||||||||||
| PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK |
| Brandon Rush | 24 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cole Aldrich | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Darnell Jackson | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Darrell Arthur | 23 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jeremy Case | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Chalmers | 27 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Rodrick Stewart | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Russell Robinson | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Sasha Kaun | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sherron Collins | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyrel Reed | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTALS | 200 | 22 | 42 | 7 | 21 | 11 | 17 | 76 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 5 |
| Oklahoma | |||||||||||||||
| PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK |
| Blake Griffin | 30 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Longar Longar | 26 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Tony Crocker | 33 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Austin Johnson | 31 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| David Godbold | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Omar Leary | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Taylor Griffin | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Cade Davis | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTALS | 200 | 14 | 31 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 21 | 63 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 2 |
Projection | Comments | |
OVERALL RESULTS | ||
| Final Score | KU 76-63 | |
| Tempo (# poss) | 70 | |
FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES | ||
| eFG% | KU 52-50% | This should make the game fairly easy to watch. |
| TO Rate (lo better) | KU 26-19% | |
| O-Reb% | KU 36-25% | |
| FT Rate | OU 29-17% | |
| Four Factors Overall | KU's edge in TO and OREB should be enough to make up for OU's slight advantage at the line. | |
PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | ||
| Leading Scorers | KU - Arthur, Chalmers/Rush Opp - B. Griffin, Longar | |
| Highest cPSAN (game impact) | KU - Jackson Opp - B. Griffin | |
| Highest cPSAN70 (efficiency) | KU - Jackson Opp - B. Griffin | |
| Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Stewart, Rush Opp - Johnson, Godbold | |
| Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Chalmers, Arthur Opp - Davis, T. Griffin | |
Sports and Numbers ProjectionKansas wins 76-63(final projection) |
Pre-Game Keys to Watch For | |||
Keys to Watch For | Metric | Result | Edge (Comments) |
| Included in Phog.net preview for this game | |||
| |