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Preview: Kansas vs Villanova (NCAA Tournament) |
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Mar 27, 2008 |
Kansas vs Villanova (NCAA Tournament - Detroit, MI)Abbreviated preview. Many components of usual previews located at Phog.net for premium members. Game Projections(Not a prediction. Read more details in "FAQ & Terms" section.) Rodrick Stewart to play 0 minutes, as Self has not played him meaningful postseason minutes. Drummond out for Villanova due to injury. Projected Boxscore | Kansas | 78 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Villanova | 69 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Kansas | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | Brandon Rush | 33 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | Cole Aldrich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | Darnell Jackson | 28 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | Darrell Arthur | 27 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | | Mario Chalmers | 34 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | | Russell Robinson | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | | Sasha Kaun | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | | Sherron Collins | 26 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | TOTALS | 200 | 18 | 34 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 30 | 78 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Villanova | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | Scottie Reynolds | 36 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | Dante Cunningham | 34 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | | Corey Fisher | 25 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Antonio Pena | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Corey Stokes | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | Shane Clark | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Dwayne Anderson | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | Malcolm Grant | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Reggie Redding | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | TOTALS | 200 | 15 | 35 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 25 | 69 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 2 | Projection Summary | | Projection | Comments | OVERALL RESULTS | | Final Score | KU 78-69 | | Tempo (# poss)
| 71 | | FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES
| | eFG% | KU 55-46% | | | TO Rate (lo better) | Tie 23% | | | O-Reb% | KU 35-32%
| Interesting, given KU's size advantage.
| | FT Rate | KU 40-32% | | Four Factors Overall
| Better shot selection, meaning a higher eFG%, should drive the Jayhawks to victory. There is also a slight edge at the FT line there for KU. |
| PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | | Leading Scorers | KU - Rush, Chalmers Opp - Reynolds, Cunningham
| | Highest cPSAN
(game impact)
| KU - Rush Opp - Clark | | Highest cPSAN70
(efficiency)
| KU - Jackson Opp - Clark | | | Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Rush Opp - Stokes, Pena | Not many KU players are projected to play well, because KU as a team is projected not to play as well as Nova. Just that the superiority of KU is enough to ensure victory. | | Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Chalmers, Collins Opp - Redding, Fisher | If this really does happen, it may not be easy for KU as fans would like. |
Sports and Numbers ProjectionKansas wins 78-69(not all prediction models included yet) |
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