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| Preview: Kansas at Iowa State |
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| Feb 26, 2008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas at Iowa State (Ames, IA)
PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This SeasonNote: ePSAN70 weighs recent games more, but cPSAN70 weighs all games equally
* Rating not based on enough data. Iowa StatecPSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions) |
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| PLAYER | cPSAN70 | cPSAN |
| Clayton Vette* | 7.15 | 5.12 |
| Cory Johnson | 5.32 | 27.13 |
| Jiri Hubalek | 4.20 | 66.10 |
| Marcus Brister* | 3.99 | 0.64 |
| Brock Jacobson* | 3.72 | 2.49 |
| Cameron Lee* | 3.33 | 8.60 |
| Rahshon Clark | 2.79 | 54.28 |
| Mike Smith* | 1.92 | 1.20 |
| Mark Currie* | 1.39 | 1.02 |
| Charles Boozer* | 1.23 | 2.71 |
| Wesley Johnson | 0.77 | 10.19 |
| Craig Brackins | 0.76 | 13.06 |
| Bryan Petersen | -0.33 | -5.51 |
| Alex Thompson | -1.48 | -12.22 |
| Diante Garrett | -2.69 | -35.24 |
| Sean Haluska | -2.72 | -24.84 |
* Rating not based on enough data.
Player Analysis:
(largely in context of ratings above)
Hubalek and Clark have carried most of the load for the Cyclones, but Cory Johnson has been the most efficient player on the team. Haluska, Garrett and Thompson have really struggled. In particular, Garrett and Thompson are turnover machines. Although it's one of the youngest teams in the country, it happens to be one of the very tallest, ranking #11 in effective height in the country. Despite such a height advantage, they are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams (#300). Hubalek is really their main threat on the glass.
Kansas counters with a balanced attack with many options. The problem is that lately, most of those options have not been playing all that well. The outside shooting has cooled in the big games, and when they needed him to step up, Darrell Arthur has largely been sitting on the bench with foul trouble. Perhaps this will be the road game where KU gets back into the form it had earlier in the season when most experts believed the Jayhawks to be the best team in the land.
Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis(Note: These are based on raw statistics that are unadjusted for strength of opposition.)
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Game Projections
(Not a prediction. Read more details in "FAQ & Terms" section.)
Manual adjustments:
Collins reduced playing time due to injury. Case/Reed increased playing time due to Collins' injury. Stewart not available for KU.
Projected Boxscore
| Kansas | 75 | ||||||||||||||
| Iowa State | 62 | ||||||||||||||
| Kansas | |||||||||||||||
| PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK |
| Brandon Rush | 32 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Cole Aldrich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Darnell Jackson | 29 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Darrell Arthur | 27 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jeremy Case | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Chalmers | 33 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Russell Robinson | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sasha Kaun | 14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sherron Collins | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyrel Reed | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTALS | 200 | 20 | 42 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 75 | 12 | 26 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 5 |
| Iowa State | |||||||||||||||
| PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK |
| Jiri Hubalek | 27 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Brackins | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Wesley Johnson | 28 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Rahshon Clark | 34 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Diante Garrett | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Petersen | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Haluska | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cory Johnson | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Thompson | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| TOTALS | 200 | 15 | 35 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 20 | 62 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 3 |
Projection Summary
Projection | Comments | |
OVERALL RESULTS | ||
| Final Score | KU 75-62 | |
| Tempo (# poss) | 69 | |
FOUR FACTORS ADVANTAGES | ||
| eFG% | KU 51-44% | Rare for an ISU opponent to shoot above 50 eFG%, so even KU's strong shooting will be tested. |
| TO Rate (lo better) | KU 22-17% | |
| O-Reb% | KU 34-26% | |
| FT Rate | ISU 26-23% | |
| Four Factors Overall | eFG% shooting advantage should be reinforced by small gains in OREB% and TO. | |
PLAYER PROJECTIONS (10+ min played) | ||
| Leading Scorers | KU - Jackson, Arthur/Chalmers Opp - Hubalek, W. Johnson | |
| Highest cPSAN (game impact) | KU - Jackson Opp - Hubalek | |
| Highest cPSAN70 (efficiency) | KU - Kaun Opp - Hubalek | |
| Highest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Kaun, Jackson Opp - Hubalek, Thompson | |
| Lowest efficiency vs season-to-date | KU - Rush, Arthur Opp - Petersen, Haluska | |
Sports and Numbers ProjectionKansas wins 75-62(all prediction models included) |
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