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Preview: Colorado at Kansas (abbreviated) |
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Feb 16, 2008 |
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No time for a full preview this game. But because I want to track against projections, I decided to run the numbers and share them with you. My calculations project that KU is not expected to beat the Vegas spread (25 pts) today but will win handily. Biggest advantage projected is eFG%, where expectations should be for a 57-47% advantage for KU. Jackson, Kaun, and Robinson are projected to have much better games than usual, while Stewart and Arthur may come in lower. Jackson-Wilson is projected to have an unusually strong game, while Roby and Knutson could underperform their average efficiencies. Game should be a slow 66 possession tempo. | Kansas | 81 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Colorado | 59 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Kansas | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | Brandon Rush | 27 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Cole Aldrich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | Conner Teahan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Darnell Jackson | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Darrell Arthur | 23 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | Jeremy Case | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Mario Chalmers | 29 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | Matt Kleinmann | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Rodrick Stewart | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Russell Robinson | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | | Sasha Kaun | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | Sherron Collins | 23 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Tyrel Reed | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | TOTALS | 200 | 22 | 39 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 81 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Colorado | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PLAYER | MIN | 2FGM | 2FGA | 3FGM | 3FGA | FTM | FTA | PTS | OREB | DREB | TREB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | | Richard Roby | 36 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | | Marcus Hall | 39 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | | Xavier Silas | 32 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Cory Higgins | 35 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | Levi Knutson | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Jermyl Jackson-Wilson | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | Dwight Thorne II | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | Marcus King-Stockton | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | TOTALS | 200 | 14 | 31 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 59 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 3 | Sports and Numbers Projection Kansas wins 81-59 (all prediction models included) |
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