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Preview: Kansas vs Kansas State (Big 12 Tournament) |
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Mar 9, 2007 |
Kansas vs Kansas State (Big XII Tournament)| | Kansas | Kansas State | Talent Indicators | | | | Div I Records | 28-4 | 22-10 | | AP Rank | 2 | NR | Pomeroy Rating
(Updated daily) | 2 | 51 | Consensus Ranking
(Updated periodically - avg several computer ratings and polls) | 5 | 56 | | RPI | 15 | 58 | Best opponents defeated this season
(Ranking from Pomeroy) | vs Florida (# 4) W 82-80 (OT)
vs Texas (# 14) W 90-86 | @ Texas (# 14) W 73-72
vs Oklahoma (# 34) W 72-61 | Predictions
This section gives you a flavor of what different prediction techniques indicate for this game. | | | | Vegas Oddsmakers | Win by 9
Est. Projection: 71-62 | | Prediction Tracker
(Average of several power ratings) | TBD | | | Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor) | Win by 10.4 | | Pomeroy
(Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted) | Win 74-62 | | Last 10 Games (Venue Adjusted)
(Uses team performance and consistency over last 7 home/non-home games, whichever pertains to this game + 3 other most recent games regardless of location. If 7 venue-appropriate games not available, fewer than 10 total games are used.) | Win by 19.7
99.98% chance of victory | | Weighted Average of All Models Above
(30% Vegas + 20% Prediction Tracker + 15% Sagarin + 15% Pomeroy + 20% Last 10) | Win by 12.6
Est. Projection: 74-61
(Does not include Prediction Tracker) | |
Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses AnalysisNOTE: From top to bottom, the statistics are sorted such that, at the top are the greatest advantages to the team on the left,
and at the bottom are the greatest advantages for the team on the right. ** Denotes that team with advantage also ranks in Top 50 in that category | | Clear Advantage for Kansas | No Clear Advantage | Clear Advantage for KSU | KSU eFG%** | | | KSU 2pt FG%** | | | KSU 3pt FG% | | | KSU % own 2FGA's blocked** | | | Kansas OREB** | | | Kansas % Poss STL by Opp | | | KSU % Poss STL by Opp** | | | KSU FT%** | | | Kansas 2pt FG%** | | | | KSU PTS/Poss | | | Kansas % own 2FGA's blocked | | | KSU TO rate | | | KSU OREB | | | Kansas TO rate | | | Kansas PTS/Poss | | | Kansas eFG% | | | Kansas FT Rate | | | Kansas FT% | | | Kansas 3pt FG% | | | KSU FT Rate | |
| Kansas will take below avg % of its FG's from 3-pt | | Expect uptempo game |
Game OutlookAs in the game against OU today, no clear advantages in this game for KSU. In fact, it's eerily similar. Here's some things we can reasonably expect: - KSU won't shoot well anywhere, field or freethrow.
- KSU will get lots of shots blocked and lots of passes stolen.
- KU will shoot a high percentage from inside the arc, and even when it misses, lots of second-chance opportunities with OREB.
- KU won't take too many 3FG's.
For the second straight postseason game, Kansas faces a team that really struggles to put the ball in the hole. The Wildcats don't have the same weapons as the Jayhawks when things are going well (offensive rebounding, turnovers that can key fastbreaks, etc). Unless KSU can neutralize Kansas on the boards, this should not be too close a game midway through the second half. Sports and Numbers Prediction: Kansas wins 75-61. |