Dartmouth at Kansas (Lawrence, KS)| | Kansas | Dartmouth | Talent Indicators | | | | Div I Records | 5-1 | 0-5 | | Sagarin Power Ranking | 31 | 333 | | Pomeroy Pythagorean Rating | 9 | 326 | RPI
(not a good judge of strength, only used for rough estimate of strength of opponent) | 37 | 335 | | Best games this season (Pyth. Rating) | vs Florida (#1) W 82-80 (OT) | None | Predictions
This section gives you a flavor of what different prediction techniques indicate for this game. | | | | Vegas Oddsmakers | | | | Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor) | Win by 33.5 | | Analysis of Variance
(Uses level and consistency of team performance - power ratings - still not very accurate until all NCAA teams are 'connected') | 99.9% chance of victory | | | Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted Prediction | Win 99-47 | |
PSAN-Related Player Ratings - Cumulative This SeasonNote: ePSAN70 weighs recent games more, but cPSAN70 weighs all games equally KansasePSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
ePSAN ("Total Impact")
| NAME | ePSAN70 | ePSAN | | Darrell Arthur | 9.89 | 33.13 | | Julian Wright | 7.74 | 36.11 | | Jeremy Case* | 5.02 | 1.63 | | Russell Robinson | 3.99 | 18.94 | | Mario Chalmers | 3.16 | 12.91 | | Darnell Jackson | 2.85 | 8.08 | | Sherron Collins | 1.97 | 5.65 | | Brandon Rush | 1.20 | 5.76 | | Brady Morningstar | 0.37 | 0.24 | | Brennan Bechard* | -0.80 | -0.08 | | Matt Kleinmann* | -1.42 | -1.14 | | Rodrick Stewart* | -1.69 | -1.67 | | Sasha Kaun | -5.74 | -4.26 | | Brad Witherspoon* | -5.84 | -0.44 |
* Rating not based on enough data. | DartmouthcPSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
cPSAN ("Total Impact")
| PLAYER | cPSAN70 | cPSAN | | Johnathan Ball | 3.76 | 7.42 | | Robby Pride* | 2.93 | 1.24 | | DeVon Mosley | -1.11 | -2.97 | | Marlon Sanders | -1.72 | -2.34 | | Jason Meyer | -2.25 | -7.49 | | Jarrett Mathis | -2.49 | -4.63 | | Alex Barnett | -4.26 | -15.09 | | Brandon Ware* | -4.50 | -2.12 | | Brian McMillan | -5.35 | -9.29 | | Kurt Graeber | -5.63 | -5.56 | | Dan Biber | -6.39 | -11.42 | | Michael Giovacchini | -7.14 | -15.42 | | Reggie Schickel* | -10.05 | -6.37 | | Elgin Fitzgerald* | -12.52 | -6.76 |
* Rating not based on enough data. |
Player Analysis:
(largely based on ratings above)
Given the significant discrepancy in talent level, this section is omitted for this game. Highlighted Efficiency Statistics | Kansas | Dartmouth | - KU has a Top 30 offense and defense.
- KU is #34 in offensive rebounding.
- KU is #47 in eFG% allowed, and #43 in 2FG% allowed
- KU is #33 in % of opponent's possessions blocked
- KU ranks #305 in % of FG's that are 3FG
| - DU has a #315 offense and #320 defense
- Essentially every category has poor ranking, except FT% (#75) and opponent's % of FG's that are assisted (#43)
| Other Efficiency Notes: - On offense, KU relies very heavily on 2FG's at the expense of 3FG's, while its opponents are roughly balanced across the board.
- On offense, DU relies very heavily on 2FG's, while its opponents rely more heavily on 2FG's at the expense of 3FG's.
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Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses AnalysisSee "FAQ & Terms" for explanation NOTE: From top to bottom, the statistics are sorted such that, at the top are the greatest advantages to the team on the left,
and at the bottom are the greatest advantages for the team on the right. | Clear Advantage for Kansas | No Clear Advantage | Clear Advantage for Dartmouth | | Kansas Strength - Kansas Points Per Possession | | | | Kansas Strength - Dartmouth Points Per Possession | | | | Kansas 2pt FG% | | | | Kansas eFG% | | | | Kansas Strength - Dartmouth eFG% | | | | Dartmouth % Poss STL by Opp | | | | Dartmouth FT Rate | | | | Kansas Strength - Dartmouth 2pt FG% | | | | Dartmouth 3pt FG% | | | | Kansas Strength - Kansas OREB | | | | Kansas % Poss Blocked by Opp | | | | Kansas 3pt FG% | | | | Kansas Strength - Dartmouth % Poss Blocked by Opp | | | | Dartmouth OREB | | | | Kansas TO rate | | | | | Kansas FT Rate | | | | Dartmouth TO rate | | | | Kansas FT% | | | | Kansas % Poss STL by Opp | | | | Dartmouth FT% | |
Game OutlookLooks like almost everything is in KU's favor, and it should be a cakewalk. The areas where Dartmouth may stand a chance are: - KU's use of the FT line, where the Jayhawks don't usually exploit to the fullest.
- Dartmouth's ability to hang on to the ball and steal the ball from KU. Neither is considered an advantage for DU, but not a clear advantage for KU either.
Perhaps the biggest factor in how much of a blowout this game will be is whether the Jayhawks are mentally exhausted after their big win over Florida. If they are, it could be a 25-30 point game, but if they come mentally focused, it should be a crushing defeat for Dartmouth. I just have a hunch it will be the latter. Sports and Numbers Prediction: Kansas wins 98-52. Pre-Game Keys to Watch For | Keys to Watch For | Metric | Result | Edge (Comments) | | KU's turnovers and FT% could be the only area of mediocrity | KU to keep TO's to fewer than 14 and shoot at least 70% from the line | | |
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NCAA Basketball 
