Explanation of Terms
Game-by-game Statistical Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis
One of the most accurate ways of assessing a team's strengths and
weaknesses is by looking at how it performs on a per-possession basis, as
opposed to looking at the per-game averages most frequently shown on
statistical previews. The information in these analyses come from
efficiency ratings calculated by Ken
Pomeroy.
Each table has three columns: "Clear Advantage for Team A",
"No Clear Advantage", and "Clear Advantage for Team
B." If a particular statistic falls into one of the clear
advantages columns, it is because it represents a strength of one team
that coincides with a weakness of the opponent. Thus, it is
reasonable to assume that it will be an advantage for one team. The
determination of whether it is a strength or a weakness is based on a
formula that takes into account the national ranking of that team as well
as the opponents' national ranking. In addition, if one of the teams
is particularly strong at that statistical category, while
maintaining an advantage over the opponent, it is listed as a "[Team]
Strength - [statistical category]."
Some categories need to be taken with a grain of salt. For
example, if you see one team with an advantage in its opponent's FT%, it
doesn't mean that the team has good "freethrow defense."
Instead, it means that the opponent doesn't shoot freethrows well, so it
is an advantage that will play in one team's favor.
NOTE: From top to bottom, the statistics are sorted such that, at
the top are the greatest advantages to the team on the left, and at the
bottom are the greatest advantages for the team on the right. In
some cases, a "no clear advantage" category may appear ahead of
or behind a category that appears in a "clear advantage"
column. This is because there are special rules for when a team has
a "strength" in a category (i.e., Top 50 ranking) and the other
team is not quite so high, but the difference in their rank may not be as
high as in another category in which neither team has a
"strength." It is not a typo.
Here are what the various statistical categories mean:
- Points per possession - Number of points scored per
possession. In general, a game has the same number of
possessions for each team, so whoever wins this battle wins the game.
- eFG% - A formula that adjusts the usual field-goal percentage to
account for the fact that 3-pointers are worth 1.5 times the number of
points that a 2-point FG is worth.
- TO rate - Percentage of possessions that end in a turnover
- OREB - Percent of available offensive rebounds that a team is able
to grab
- FT Rate - Represents the ability of a team to use the freethrow line
enough times and efficiently
- 3pt FG%, 2pt FG%, FT% - self-explanatory
- % Poss Blocked by Opp - The percentage of possessions during which
the opponent blocks a shot (i.e., this is not a good thing for the
team in question)
- 3FGA % of FGA - The percentage of field goals attempted that are
three-pointers
- AST / FGM - Basically represents what percentage of field goals made
are the result of an assist
- Tempo - Represents the number of possessions, on average, for each
team in a game. This determines the pace of the game much more
accurately than the score of the game, which would need to take into
account the scoring efficiency of each possession also.
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